Recent forecast guidance from sources including BBC Weather and regional models points to a peak of 29–30°C in Ankara on June 17 under sunny skies and light winds, producing the tight market split between those two outcomes. Ankara’s elevated plateau location amplifies sensitivity to small differences in afternoon boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover, while ensemble spreads in global models create realistic paths to either 28°C or 31°C depending on exact timing of any thin high cloud or slight wind shift. A continued seasonal warming trend through mid-June supports the current trader consensus near the upper end of typical early-summer maxima, with the next model runs and official Turkish Meteorological Service updates likely to narrow the range before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月17日安卡拉的最高温度?
29°C 32%
30°C 30%
28°C 18%
31°C 7.8%
25°C or below
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
4%
28°C
18%
29°C
32%
30°C
30%
31°C
8%
32°C
2%
33°C
2%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
29°C 32%
30°C 30%
28°C 18%
31°C 7.8%
25°C or below
1%
26°C
1%
27°C
4%
28°C
18%
29°C
32%
30°C
30%
31°C
8%
32°C
2%
33°C
2%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 15, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent forecast guidance from sources including BBC Weather and regional models points to a peak of 29–30°C in Ankara on June 17 under sunny skies and light winds, producing the tight market split between those two outcomes. Ankara’s elevated plateau location amplifies sensitivity to small differences in afternoon boundary-layer mixing and cloud cover, while ensemble spreads in global models create realistic paths to either 28°C or 31°C depending on exact timing of any thin high cloud or slight wind shift. A continued seasonal warming trend through mid-June supports the current trader consensus near the upper end of typical early-summer maxima, with the next model runs and official Turkish Meteorological Service updates likely to narrow the range before resolution.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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