Recent short-range forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles such as GFS and ECMWF indicate Seoul's June 18 daytime maximum will likely peak near 28–29°C, producing the market's tightest probabilities at those levels. Southerly flow and building humidity ahead of the East Asian monsoon are delivering warmth, yet increasing afternoon cloud cover and scattered showers introduce uncertainty that could trim the high by 1–2°C or allow brief clearing to push readings toward 30°C. Historical June baselines for central Seoul hover near 27°C, making current model consensus the dominant driver of trader positioning ahead of final observational data.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月18日首尔气温最高?
28°C 36%
29°C 30%
30°C 16.1%
27°C 10.5%
$70,836 交易量
$70,836 交易量
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
10%
28°C
36%
29°C
30%
30°C
16%
31°C or higher
4%
28°C 36%
29°C 30%
30°C 16.1%
27°C 10.5%
$70,836 交易量
$70,836 交易量
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
3%
27°C
10%
28°C
36%
29°C
30%
30°C
16%
31°C or higher
4%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 16, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Incheon Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/incheon/RKSI.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Recent short-range forecasts from the Korea Meteorological Administration and global ensembles such as GFS and ECMWF indicate Seoul's June 18 daytime maximum will likely peak near 28–29°C, producing the market's tightest probabilities at those levels. Southerly flow and building humidity ahead of the East Asian monsoon are delivering warmth, yet increasing afternoon cloud cover and scattered showers introduce uncertainty that could trim the high by 1–2°C or allow brief clearing to push readings toward 30°C. Historical June baselines for central Seoul hover near 27°C, making current model consensus the dominant driver of trader positioning ahead of final observational data.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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