**Forecast models and official guidance from Environment Canada position 22°C as the dominant outcome for Toronto’s June 17 maximum, aligning with the 74% market-implied probability.** Near-normal early-summer conditions, including a mix of sun and cloud, light southerly flow, and a modest chance of showers, are expected to limit daytime heating. Historical June averages at Toronto Pearson hover near 23–24°C, but persistent cloud cover and precipitation risk are suppressing higher readings. Traders appear to have incorporated stable model consensus showing little deviation from 21–23°C, with only minor implied odds on adjacent outcomes. Updated Environment Canada briefings and any late-day observational adjustments from official stations will provide the final resolution data.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于6月17日多伦多气温最高?
22°C 94%
23°C 8%
26°C <1%
24°C <1%
$41,280 交易量
$41,280 交易量
17°C或以下
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
94%
23°C
8%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C或更高
<1%
22°C 94%
23°C 8%
26°C <1%
24°C <1%
$41,280 交易量
$41,280 交易量
17°C或以下
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
94%
23°C
8%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C或更高
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
市场开放时间: Jun 15, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
**Forecast models and official guidance from Environment Canada position 22°C as the dominant outcome for Toronto’s June 17 maximum, aligning with the 74% market-implied probability.** Near-normal early-summer conditions, including a mix of sun and cloud, light southerly flow, and a modest chance of showers, are expected to limit daytime heating. Historical June averages at Toronto Pearson hover near 23–24°C, but persistent cloud cover and precipitation risk are suppressing higher readings. Traders appear to have incorporated stable model consensus showing little deviation from 21–23°C, with only minor implied odds on adjacent outcomes. Updated Environment Canada briefings and any late-day observational adjustments from official stations will provide the final resolution data.
基于Polymarket数据的AI实验性摘要。这不是交易建议,也不影响该市场的结算方式。 · 更新于
警惕外部链接哦。
警惕外部链接哦。
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