Recent model runs from the Met Office and ECMWF show the overnight minimum temperature in London on June 15 likely falling between 12–13 °C, with ensemble spreads producing the near-even market split. Mild southwesterly flow off the Atlantic limits radiative cooling, while variable cloud cover and light winds introduce the key uncertainty: clearer spells could allow temperatures to dip toward 12 °C, whereas increased low cloud or a slightly warmer boundary layer keeps readings near 13 °C. Historical June climatology places typical minima around 11–12 °C, so current guidance sits slightly above average but within normal variability. Updated high-resolution model outputs and Met Office briefings over the next 24 hours will refine the resolution threshold.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in London on June 15?
13°C 35%
12°C 32%
11°C 26%
14°C 4%
8°C or below
1%
9°C
1%
10°C
1%
11°C
22%
12°C
32%
13°C
35%
14°C
4%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
13°C 35%
12°C 32%
11°C 26%
14°C 4%
8°C or below
1%
9°C
1%
10°C
1%
11°C
22%
12°C
32%
13°C
35%
14°C
4%
15°C
<1%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jun 13, 2026, 12:40 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model runs from the Met Office and ECMWF show the overnight minimum temperature in London on June 15 likely falling between 12–13 °C, with ensemble spreads producing the near-even market split. Mild southwesterly flow off the Atlantic limits radiative cooling, while variable cloud cover and light winds introduce the key uncertainty: clearer spells could allow temperatures to dip toward 12 °C, whereas increased low cloud or a slightly warmer boundary layer keeps readings near 13 °C. Historical June climatology places typical minima around 11–12 °C, so current guidance sits slightly above average but within normal variability. Updated high-resolution model outputs and Met Office briefings over the next 24 hours will refine the resolution threshold.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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