Current National Weather Service forecasts for New York City point to an overnight low near 63°F amid partly to mostly cloudy skies and light southerly winds, supporting the market's emphasis on the 64-65°F bin as the leading outcome. Mid-June climatology favors minimum temperatures around 64-66°F under typical conditions, with the urban heat island and limited radiational cooling from cloud cover preventing sharper drops. Recent model consensus shows no significant cold advection or clear-sky enhancement that would push readings into the low 60s or below, while warmer scenarios remain unlikely without unexpected mixing or delayed cooling. Updated guidance through the morning hours will refine these probabilities ahead of final resolution based on official observations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in NYC on June 17?
64-65°F 39%
62-63°F 26%
66-67°F 12%
60-61°F 10%
53°F or below
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
3%
60-61°F
10%
62-63°F
26%
64-65°F
44%
66-67°F
12%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72°F or higher
<1%
64-65°F 39%
62-63°F 26%
66-67°F 12%
60-61°F 10%
53°F or below
<1%
54-55°F
<1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
3%
60-61°F
10%
62-63°F
26%
64-65°F
44%
66-67°F
12%
68-69°F
<1%
70-71°F
<1%
72°F or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 15, 2026, 9:30 PM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current National Weather Service forecasts for New York City point to an overnight low near 63°F amid partly to mostly cloudy skies and light southerly winds, supporting the market's emphasis on the 64-65°F bin as the leading outcome. Mid-June climatology favors minimum temperatures around 64-66°F under typical conditions, with the urban heat island and limited radiational cooling from cloud cover preventing sharper drops. Recent model consensus shows no significant cold advection or clear-sky enhancement that would push readings into the low 60s or below, while warmer scenarios remain unlikely without unexpected mixing or delayed cooling. Updated guidance through the morning hours will refine these probabilities ahead of final resolution based on official observations.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
ระวังลิงก์ภายนอก
คำถามที่พบบ่อย