Recent Met Office and BBC forecasts indicate a minimum temperature near 17°C for London on June 19, 2026, driven by building high pressure that promotes clearer skies, reduced cloud cover, and warmer overnight radiative cooling compared to seasonal norms. Ensemble model guidance shows limited spread in low-level temperatures under southwesterly flow, with dew points supporting minima clustered between 16–19°C depending on exact cloud timing and urban heat island effects. This scientific uncertainty around boundary-layer mixing and localized cooling explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds on 17°C through 19°C outcomes, while probabilities decline sharply outside this range given current atmospheric stability. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine the precise threshold before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in London on June 19?
Lowest temperature in London on June 19?
18°C 33%
19°C 32%
17°C 21%
16°C 17%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jun 19, 2026
14°C or below
8%
15°C
9%
16°C
17%
17°C
21%
18°C
33%
19°C
32%
20°C
9%
21°C
17%
22°C
4%
23°C
1%
24°C or higher
<1%
18°C 33%
19°C 32%
17°C 21%
16°C 17%
ใหม่
ใหม่
Jun 19, 2026
14°C or below
$20 ปริมาณ
8%
15°C
$0 ปริมาณ
9%
16°C
$0 ปริมาณ
17%
17°C
$15 ปริมาณ
21%
18°C
$20 ปริมาณ
33%
19°C
$53 ปริมาณ
32%
20°C
$9 ปริมาณ
9%
21°C
$0 ปริมาณ
17%
22°C
$0 ปริมาณ
4%
23°C
$5 ปริมาณ
1%
24°C or higher
$20 ปริมาณ
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and BBC forecasts indicate a minimum temperature near 17°C for London on June 19, 2026, driven by building high pressure that promotes clearer skies, reduced cloud cover, and warmer overnight radiative cooling compared to seasonal norms. Ensemble model guidance shows limited spread in low-level temperatures under southwesterly flow, with dew points supporting minima clustered between 16–19°C depending on exact cloud timing and urban heat island effects. This scientific uncertainty around boundary-layer mixing and localized cooling explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds on 17°C through 19°C outcomes, while probabilities decline sharply outside this range given current atmospheric stability. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine the precise threshold before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$136วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 19, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Met Office and BBC forecasts indicate a minimum temperature near 17°C for London on June 19, 2026, driven by building high pressure that promotes clearer skies, reduced cloud cover, and warmer overnight radiative cooling compared to seasonal norms. Ensemble model guidance shows limited spread in low-level temperatures under southwesterly flow, with dew points supporting minima clustered between 16–19°C depending on exact cloud timing and urban heat island effects. This scientific uncertainty around boundary-layer mixing and localized cooling explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds on 17°C through 19°C outcomes, while probabilities decline sharply outside this range given current atmospheric stability. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine the precise threshold before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ปริมาณการซื้อขาย
$136วันสิ้นสุด
Jun 19, 2026ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ
Jun 17, 2026, 12:30 AM ETแหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Met Office and BBC forecasts indicate a minimum temperature near 17°C for London on June 19, 2026, driven by building high pressure that promotes clearer skies, reduced cloud cover, and warmer overnight radiative cooling compared to seasonal norms. Ensemble model guidance shows limited spread in low-level temperatures under southwesterly flow, with dew points supporting minima clustered between 16–19°C depending on exact cloud timing and urban heat island effects. This scientific uncertainty around boundary-layer mixing and localized cooling explains the tight clustering of market-implied odds on 17°C through 19°C outcomes, while probabilities decline sharply outside this range given current atmospheric stability. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will likely refine the precise threshold before resolution.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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