Recent model consensus from the Met Office and European ensembles points to a mild overnight minimum in London on June 18, with limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and a southwesterly flow moderating temperatures near 16–17°C. This aligns with the market’s tight 45%–39% split between those outcomes and reflects near-normal early-summer conditions following a changeable jet-stream pattern earlier in the month. Historical June lows average around 12°C, yet current guidance shows a positive anomaly driven by higher pressure and reduced northerly influence; small shifts in cloud cover or wind speed could still tip the recorded minimum by 1°C. Updated high-resolution runs and official observations expected overnight will provide the final resolution data.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้วLowest temperature in London on June 18?
17°C 45%
16°C 39%
18°C 6.3%
15°C 4.8%
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
5%
16°C
39%
17°C
45%
18°C
6%
19°C
2%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C or higher
<1%
17°C 45%
16°C 39%
18°C 6.3%
15°C 4.8%
12°C or below
<1%
13°C
1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
5%
16°C
39%
17°C
45%
18°C
6%
19°C
2%
20°C
1%
21°C
1%
22°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
ตลาดเปิดเมื่อ: Jun 16, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
แหล่งข้อมูลการตัดสินผล
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent model consensus from the Met Office and European ensembles points to a mild overnight minimum in London on June 18, with limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and a southwesterly flow moderating temperatures near 16–17°C. This aligns with the market’s tight 45%–39% split between those outcomes and reflects near-normal early-summer conditions following a changeable jet-stream pattern earlier in the month. Historical June lows average around 12°C, yet current guidance shows a positive anomaly driven by higher pressure and reduced northerly influence; small shifts in cloud cover or wind speed could still tip the recorded minimum by 1°C. Updated high-resolution runs and official observations expected overnight will provide the final resolution data.
สรุปจาก AI ทดลองที่อ้างอิงข้อมูลจาก Polymarket ไม่ใช่คำแนะนำในการเทรดและไม่มีผลต่อการตัดสินตลาดนี้ · อัปเดตแล้ว
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