High-pressure building over western Europe has cleared skies over Paris, promoting strong nocturnal radiative cooling that positions the June 15 minimum temperature near 12–13°C according to the latest Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble runs. Daytime maxima are forecast to reach 23–25°C under light winds, so the overnight low depends on boundary-layer humidity, residual Atlantic advection, and cloud-cover timing—factors that create tight spreads between the leading outcomes. Climatological June minima in Paris typically range from 11–16°C, lending further support to the current trader consensus reflected in the closely matched 12°C and 13°C probabilities. Final model updates before sunset will refine these thresholds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · AktualisiertNiedrigste Temperatur in Paris am 15. Juni?
12°C 38%
13°C 28%
14°C 9%
11°C 8%
10°C oder weniger
2%
11°C
8%
12°C
38%
13°C
34%
14°C
9%
15°C
5%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C oder höher
<1%
12°C 38%
13°C 28%
14°C 9%
11°C 8%
10°C oder weniger
2%
11°C
8%
12°C
38%
13°C
34%
14°C
9%
15°C
5%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
1%
19°C
<1%
20°C oder höher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Markt eröffnet: Jun 13, 2026, 12:34 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...High-pressure building over western Europe has cleared skies over Paris, promoting strong nocturnal radiative cooling that positions the June 15 minimum temperature near 12–13°C according to the latest Météo-France and ECMWF ensemble runs. Daytime maxima are forecast to reach 23–25°C under light winds, so the overnight low depends on boundary-layer humidity, residual Atlantic advection, and cloud-cover timing—factors that create tight spreads between the leading outcomes. Climatological June minima in Paris typically range from 11–16°C, lending further support to the current trader consensus reflected in the closely matched 12°C and 13°C probabilities. Final model updates before sunset will refine these thresholds.
Experimentelle KI-generierte Zusammenfassung mit Polymarket-Daten. Dies ist keine Handelsberatung und spielt keine Rolle bei der Auflösung dieses Marktes. · Aktualisiert
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