**Ongoing measles transmission across 47 U.S. jurisdictions, fueled by sustained outbreaks and vaccination gaps, continues to drive weekly case increases as the September 30 cutoff approaches.** As of September 24, 2026, the CDC reports 3,659 confirmed 2026 cases—already far exceeding the 2,289 full-year total for 2025—with 95% unvaccinated or of unknown status and 9% hospitalized. Pennsylvania leads with over 800 cases amid multiple active outbreaks (40 reported nationally), while recent weeks have added 171–188 cases. CDC data reflect confirmed reports through Thursday updates; the next weekly release and state surveillance reports will provide the final counts for market resolution, with transmission patterns showing little immediate slowdown in the final days of the month.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedView resolved

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