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Politica·Primarie

MI-10 Republican Primary Winner

icon for MI-10 Republican Primary Winner
Politica·Primarie

MI-10 Republican Primary Winner

Mike Bouchard 79%

Robert Lulgjuraj 18.6%

Casey Armitage 2.5%

Justin Kirk <1%

Polymarket

$14,356 Vol.

Mike Bouchard 79%

Robert Lulgjuraj 18.6%

Casey Armitage 2.5%

Justin Kirk <1%

Polymarket

$14,356 Vol.

Mike Bouchard

$4,144 Vol.

79%

Robert Lulgjuraj

$3,519 Vol.

19%

Casey Armitage

$2,903 Vol.

3%

Justin Kirk

$1,397 Vol.

1%

Steven Elliott

$2,392 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Mike Bouchard holds a dominant position in the Michigan 10th Congressional District Republican primary, scheduled for August 4, 2026, due to his established name recognition as the son of Oakland County Sheriff Mike Bouchard, military service including Army Airborne and National Guard roles, and recent endorsements from groups such as the Police Officers Association of Michigan. Fundraising strength and allied super PAC support have further reinforced his lead. Robert Lulgjuraj, the primary challenger and a former Macomb County prosecutor who raised over $1 million, faces ongoing ballot eligibility challenges filed in May 2026 over residency statements and petition signatures, which have constrained his momentum. Lesser-known candidates including Casey Armitage, Justin Kirk, and Steven Elliott trail with minimal reported traction or resources. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages and recent legal developments in the open-seat contest.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$14,356
Data di fine
4 ago 2026
Mercato aperto
Dec 18, 2025, 3:28 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Mike Bouchard holds a dominant position in the Michigan 10th Congressional District Republican primary, scheduled for August 4, 2026, due to his established name recognition as the son of Oakland County Sheriff Mike Bouchard, military service including Army Airborne and National Guard roles, and recent endorsements from groups such as the Police Officers Association of Michigan. Fundraising strength and allied super PAC support have further reinforced his lead. Robert Lulgjuraj, the primary challenger and a former Macomb County prosecutor who raised over $1 million, faces ongoing ballot eligibility challenges filed in May 2026 over residency statements and petition signatures, which have constrained his momentum. Lesser-known candidates including Casey Armitage, Justin Kirk, and Steven Elliott trail with minimal reported traction or resources. Trader consensus reflects these structural advantages and recent legal developments in the open-seat contest.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volume
$14,356
Data di fine
4 ago 2026
Mercato aperto
Dec 18, 2025, 3:28 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MI-10 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Domande frequenti

"MI-10 Republican Primary Winner" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 5 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Mike Bouchard" a 79%, seguito da "Robert Lulgjuraj" a 19%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 79¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 79% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "MI-10 Republican Primary Winner" ha generato $14.4K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Dec 18, 2025. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "MI-10 Republican Primary Winner", esplora i 5 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "MI-10 Republican Primary Winner" è "Mike Bouchard" a 79%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 79% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Robert Lulgjuraj" a 19%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "MI-10 Republican Primary Winner" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.