Aaron Judge commands trader consensus at 35% implied probability for the 2026 AL Hank Aaron Award, fueled by his AL-leading 16 home runs—tied for second MLB-wide—and 1.022 OPS through 44 games, alongside 30 RBIs tied for seventh. Yordan Alvarez trails at 19% with a league-high .309 average, 13 homers, 29 RBIs, and superior 1.029 OPS, reflecting his consistent power despite a slow Astros start. Bobby Witt Jr. and Gunnar Henderson share 8% on Witt's .306 average and emerging speed-power combo, while José Ramírez holds 7.5% via steady Guardians production. Prospect Nick Kurtz's recent surge— including a 442-foot homer on May 14—elevates him to 4%, underscoring early-season volatility in offensive futures markets.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedMLB: 2026 AL Hank Aaron Winner
MLB: 2026 AL Hank Aaron Winner
Aaron Judge 35.1%
Yordan Alvarez 17%
Gunnar Henderson 16%
José Ramírez 8%
NEW
NEW
Nov 13, 2026
Aaron Judge
35%
Yordan Alvarez
17%
Gunnar Henderson
16%
José Ramírez
8%
Bobby Witt Jr.
7%
Nick Kurtz
5%
Julio Rodríguez
4%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
4%
Corey Seager
2%
Cal Raleigh
2%
Aaron Judge 35.1%
Yordan Alvarez 17%
Gunnar Henderson 16%
José Ramírez 8%
NEW
NEW
Nov 13, 2026
Aaron Judge
$687 Vol.
35%
Yordan Alvarez
$314 Vol.
17%
Gunnar Henderson
$194 Vol.
16%
José Ramírez
$0 Vol.
8%
Bobby Witt Jr.
$209 Vol.
7%
Nick Kurtz
$0 Vol.
5%
Julio Rodríguez
$0 Vol.
4%
Vladimir Guerrero Jr.
$0 Vol.
4%
Corey Seager
$0 Vol.
2%
Cal Raleigh
$3,482 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Hank Aaron Award.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Aaron Judge commands trader consensus at 35% implied probability for the 2026 AL Hank Aaron Award, fueled by his AL-leading 16 home runs—tied for second MLB-wide—and 1.022 OPS through 44 games, alongside 30 RBIs tied for seventh. Yordan Alvarez trails at 19% with a league-high .309 average, 13 homers, 29 RBIs, and superior 1.029 OPS, reflecting his consistent power despite a slow Astros start. Bobby Witt Jr. and Gunnar Henderson share 8% on Witt's .306 average and emerging speed-power combo, while José Ramírez holds 7.5% via steady Guardians production. Prospect Nick Kurtz's recent surge— including a 442-foot homer on May 14—elevates him to 4%, underscoring early-season volatility in offensive futures markets.
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Hank Aaron Award.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Feb 19, 2026, 2:15 PM ET
Volume
$4,886End Date
Nov 13, 2026Market Opened
Feb 19, 2026, 2:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Hank Aaron Award.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Aaron Judge commands trader consensus at 35% implied probability for the 2026 AL Hank Aaron Award, fueled by his AL-leading 16 home runs—tied for second MLB-wide—and 1.022 OPS through 44 games, alongside 30 RBIs tied for seventh. Yordan Alvarez trails at 19% with a league-high .309 average, 13 homers, 29 RBIs, and superior 1.029 OPS, reflecting his consistent power despite a slow Astros start. Bobby Witt Jr. and Gunnar Henderson share 8% on Witt's .306 average and emerging speed-power combo, while José Ramírez holds 7.5% via steady Guardians production. Prospect Nick Kurtz's recent surge— including a 442-foot homer on May 14—elevates him to 4%, underscoring early-season volatility in offensive futures markets.
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 American League Hank Aaron Award.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$4,886End Date
Nov 13, 2026Market Opened
Feb 19, 2026, 2:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Aaron Judge commands trader consensus at 35% implied probability for the 2026 AL Hank Aaron Award, fueled by his AL-leading 16 home runs—tied for second MLB-wide—and 1.022 OPS through 44 games, alongside 30 RBIs tied for seventh. Yordan Alvarez trails at 19% with a league-high .309 average, 13 homers, 29 RBIs, and superior 1.029 OPS, reflecting his consistent power despite a slow Astros start. Bobby Witt Jr. and Gunnar Henderson share 8% on Witt's .306 average and emerging speed-power combo, while José Ramírez holds 7.5% via steady Guardians production. Prospect Nick Kurtz's recent surge— including a 442-foot homer on May 14—elevates him to 4%, underscoring early-season volatility in offensive futures markets.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions