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icon for MLB: 2026 American League Champion
Sports·World Series

MLB: 2026 American League Champion

icon for MLB: 2026 American League Champion
Sports·World Series

MLB: 2026 American League Champion

Tampa Bay Rays 28.3%

New York Yankees 23%

Cleveland Guardians 14.3%

Boston Red Sox 12.4%

Polymarket

$4,383,166 Vol.

Tampa Bay Rays 28.3%

New York Yankees 23%

Cleveland Guardians 14.3%

Boston Red Sox 12.4%

Polymarket

$4,383,166 Vol.

Tampa Bay Rays

$413,619 Vol.

28%

New York Yankees

$65,359 Vol.

23%

Cleveland Guardians

$747,221 Vol.

14%

Boston Red Sox

$63,123 Vol.

12%

Chicago White Sox

$256,065 Vol.

9%

Texas Rangers

$31,319 Vol.

7%

Houston Astros

$788,628 Vol.

5%

Toronto Blue Jays

$155,663 Vol.

2%

Baltimore Orioles

$73,056 Vol.

<1%

Seattle Mariners

$43,939 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 American League Championship Series. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 American League Championship Series per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 American League Championship Series is cancelled, postponed after November 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Tampa Bay Rays' AL East lead at 95-60, fueled by the league's top offense and a rotation ranking among the best in ERA, underpins their 28.3% implied probability as traders price in division dominance and recent 8-2 form. The New York Yankees trail by six games but post the AL's strongest run differential, keeping their 22.5% share competitive entering the final week. Tight AL Central and West races—Cleveland Guardians at 81-75 over the Chicago White Sox and Texas Rangers at 78-78 over the Houston Astros—along with Boston's wild-card position sustain a bunched field, as any of the top six clubs retains realistic postseason paths through favorable matchups, roster health, and series outcomes.

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 American League Championship Series.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 American League Championship Series per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 American League Championship Series is cancelled, postponed after November 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 American League Championship Series. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 American League Championship Series per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 American League Championship Series is cancelled, postponed after November 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$4,383,166
End Date
Nov 1, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 19, 2026, 11:07 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 American League Championship Series. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 American League Championship Series per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 American League Championship Series is cancelled, postponed after November 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Tampa Bay Rays' AL East lead at 95-60, fueled by the league's top offense and a rotation ranking among the best in ERA, underpins their 28.3% implied probability as traders price in division dominance and recent 8-2 form. The New York Yankees trail by six games but post the AL's strongest run differential, keeping their 22.5% share competitive entering the final week. Tight AL Central and West races—Cleveland Guardians at 81-75 over the Chicago White Sox and Texas Rangers at 78-78 over the Houston Astros—along with Boston's wild-card position sustain a bunched field, as any of the top six clubs retains realistic postseason paths through favorable matchups, roster health, and series outcomes.

This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 American League Championship Series.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 American League Championship Series per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 American League Championship Series is cancelled, postponed after November 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the team that wins the 2026 American League Championship Series. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed team to win the 2026 American League Championship Series per the rules of the MLB (e.g., they are eliminated in the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 American League Championship Series is cancelled, postponed after November 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$4,383,166
End Date
Nov 1, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 19, 2026, 11:07 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"MLB: 2026 American League Champion" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 15 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Tampa Bay Rays" at 28%, followed by "New York Yankees" at 23%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 28¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 28% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "MLB: 2026 American League Champion" has generated $4.4 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 19, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "MLB: 2026 American League Champion," browse the 15 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MLB: 2026 American League Champion" is "Tampa Bay Rays" at 28%, meaning the market assigns a 28% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "New York Yankees" at 23%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MLB: 2026 American League Champion" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.