Yordan Alvarez leads trader consensus for AL Comeback Player of the Year at 46.5% implied probability after missing most of 2025 with a hand fracture and ankle injury that limited him to 48 games. His early 2026 surge, including a .321 average, 14 home runs, and AL Player of the Month honors for April, has reinforced his status as a top power threat when healthy. Anthony Volpe sits at 38% following offseason surgery to repair a left labrum tear that hampered his 2025 production at shortstop for the Yankees. Anthony Santander at 36% and Kristian Campbell at 34% reflect strong early-season rebounds from prior slumps, while Gerrit Cole at 25% draws support from his anticipated June return from Tommy John surgery. Mike Trout and Adley Rutschman trail at 22% and 19.6% amid ongoing injury concerns that have defined their recent seasons.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedYordan Alvarez 56%
Gerrit Cole 40%
Anthony Santander 24.9%
Jonathan India 24.6%
Yordan Alvarez
56%
Gerrit Cole
40%
Anthony Santander
25%
Jonathan India
25%
Zack Gelof
24%
Anthony Volpe
23%
Kristian Campbell
22%
Adley Rutschman
19%
Mike Trout
17%
Yordan Alvarez 56%
Gerrit Cole 40%
Anthony Santander 24.9%
Jonathan India 24.6%
Yordan Alvarez
56%
Gerrit Cole
40%
Anthony Santander
25%
Jonathan India
25%
Zack Gelof
24%
Anthony Volpe
23%
Kristian Campbell
22%
Adley Rutschman
19%
Mike Trout
17%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Mar 26, 2026, 5:06 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Yordan Alvarez leads trader consensus for AL Comeback Player of the Year at 46.5% implied probability after missing most of 2025 with a hand fracture and ankle injury that limited him to 48 games. His early 2026 surge, including a .321 average, 14 home runs, and AL Player of the Month honors for April, has reinforced his status as a top power threat when healthy. Anthony Volpe sits at 38% following offseason surgery to repair a left labrum tear that hampered his 2025 production at shortstop for the Yankees. Anthony Santander at 36% and Kristian Campbell at 34% reflect strong early-season rebounds from prior slumps, while Gerrit Cole at 25% draws support from his anticipated June return from Tommy John surgery. Mike Trout and Adley Rutschman trail at 22% and 19.6% amid ongoing injury concerns that have defined their recent seasons.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

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