Will Venable’s leadership of the Chicago White Sox turnaround anchors trader sentiment in the AL Manager of the Year market. After a 102-loss 2025 campaign, the second-year skipper has guided the club to an 80-76 mark entering the final week, keeping them within reach of the AL Central lead and a playoff spot despite modest preseason expectations. Kevin Cash remains the clear second choice at 29.6 percent implied probability as the Rays have posted one of the AL’s strongest records, clinched a postseason berth, and held the AL East lead for extended stretches on a low payroll. Stephen Vogt and the other listed managers trail significantly, reflecting more modest overperformance relative to roster forecasts and standings positioning. Recent late-September results and final divisional outcomes will shape the BBWAA vote that resolves the market.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedWill Venable 59.9%
Kevin Cash 28.1%
Stephen Vogt 3.2%
Skip Schumaker 1.8%
$72,189 Vol.
$72,189 Vol.
Will Venable
60%
Kevin Cash
28%
Stephen Vogt
3%
Skip Schumaker
2%
Aaron Boone
1%
Joe Espada
1%
A.J. Hinch
<1%
Craig Albernaz
<1%
Dan Wilson
<1%
Derek Shelton
<1%
Kurt Suzuki
<1%
Alex Cora
<1%
John Schneider
<1%
Matt Quatraro
<1%
Mark Kotsay
<1%
Will Venable 59.9%
Kevin Cash 28.1%
Stephen Vogt 3.2%
Skip Schumaker 1.8%
$72,189 Vol.
$72,189 Vol.
Will Venable
60%
Kevin Cash
28%
Stephen Vogt
3%
Skip Schumaker
2%
Aaron Boone
1%
Joe Espada
1%
A.J. Hinch
<1%
Craig Albernaz
<1%
Dan Wilson
<1%
Derek Shelton
<1%
Kurt Suzuki
<1%
Alex Cora
<1%
John Schneider
<1%
Matt Quatraro
<1%
Mark Kotsay
<1%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the manager whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Mar 26, 2026, 5:26 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the manager whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Will Venable’s leadership of the Chicago White Sox turnaround anchors trader sentiment in the AL Manager of the Year market. After a 102-loss 2025 campaign, the second-year skipper has guided the club to an 80-76 mark entering the final week, keeping them within reach of the AL Central lead and a playoff spot despite modest preseason expectations. Kevin Cash remains the clear second choice at 29.6 percent implied probability as the Rays have posted one of the AL’s strongest records, clinched a postseason berth, and held the AL East lead for extended stretches on a low payroll. Stephen Vogt and the other listed managers trail significantly, reflecting more modest overperformance relative to roster forecasts and standings positioning. Recent late-September results and final divisional outcomes will shape the BBWAA vote that resolves the market.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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