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icon for MLB: Next Phillies Manager

MLB: Next Phillies Manager

icon for MLB: Next Phillies Manager

MLB: Next Phillies Manager

Ryan Flaherty 23%

Don Mattingly 15%

Rocco Baldelli 6%

Kai Correa 6%

Polymarket
NEW

Ryan Flaherty 23%

Don Mattingly 15%

Rocco Baldelli 6%

Kai Correa 6%

Polymarket
NEW

Ryan Flaherty

$70 Vol.

23%

Don Mattingly

$70 Vol.

26%

Rocco Baldelli

$70 Vol.

6%

Kai Correa

$70 Vol.

10%

Carlos Beltran

$70 Vol.

29%

Brad Ausmus

$70 Vol.

1%

Alex Cora

$70 Vol.

-

Brandon Hyde

$70 Vol.

36%

Joe Girardi

$70 Vol.

-

A.J. Ellis

$70 Vol.

-

Daniel Descalso

$70 Vol.

-

David Ross

$70 Vol.

31%

Bruce Bochy

$70 Vol.

-

Omar López

$80 Vol.

31%

George Lombard

$70 Vol.

-

Will Venable

$70 Vol.

-

This market will resolve according to the person who is appointed as the next permanent manager of the Philadelphia Phillies. If no permanent manager is appointed by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other." Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution. An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Philadelphia Phillies; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Philadelphia Phillies' abrupt firing of Rob Thomson on April 28 after a 9-19 start, followed by bench coach Don Mattingly's appointment as interim manager through 2026, has left the 2027 skipper search wide open, fueling a tight race atop trader consensus with Bruce Bochy edging ahead at 47% implied probability. Bochy's championship pedigree—three World Series titles—and availability after departing Texas Rangers reflect strong appeal for president of baseball operations Dave Dombrowski's win-now roster, while Alex Cora (45.5%), who rejected the interim role despite prior ties to Dombrowski, Joe Girardi (45.5%, ex-Phillies skipper), and internal options like Daniel Descalso and Will Venable (both 45.5%) cluster closely amid ongoing offensive woes that underscore the need for a proven voice. No dominant frontrunner has emerged in the two weeks since, keeping the field competitive.

This market will resolve according to the person who is appointed as the next permanent manager of the Philadelphia Phillies.

If no permanent manager is appointed by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other."

Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution.

An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Philadelphia Phillies; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,130
End Date
Jan 1, 2027
Market Opened
Apr 28, 2026, 3:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the person who is appointed as the next permanent manager of the Philadelphia Phillies. If no permanent manager is appointed by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other." Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution. An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Philadelphia Phillies; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the person who is appointed as the next permanent manager of the Philadelphia Phillies. If no permanent manager is appointed by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other." Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution. An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Philadelphia Phillies; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Philadelphia Phillies' abrupt firing of Rob Thomson on April 28 after a 9-19 start, followed by bench coach Don Mattingly's appointment as interim manager through 2026, has left the 2027 skipper search wide open, fueling a tight race atop trader consensus with Bruce Bochy edging ahead at 47% implied probability. Bochy's championship pedigree—three World Series titles—and availability after departing Texas Rangers reflect strong appeal for president of baseball operations Dave Dombrowski's win-now roster, while Alex Cora (45.5%), who rejected the interim role despite prior ties to Dombrowski, Joe Girardi (45.5%, ex-Phillies skipper), and internal options like Daniel Descalso and Will Venable (both 45.5%) cluster closely amid ongoing offensive woes that underscore the need for a proven voice. No dominant frontrunner has emerged in the two weeks since, keeping the field competitive.

This market will resolve according to the person who is appointed as the next permanent manager of the Philadelphia Phillies.

If no permanent manager is appointed by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other."

Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution.

An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Philadelphia Phillies; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,130
End Date
Jan 1, 2027
Market Opened
Apr 28, 2026, 3:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the person who is appointed as the next permanent manager of the Philadelphia Phillies. If no permanent manager is appointed by January 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other." Appointments of 'interim,' 'caretaker,' or other non-permanent managers will not impact this market's resolution. An announcement of a new permanent manager's appointment before this market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option, regardless of when the announced appointment goes into effect. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Philadelphia Phillies; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"MLB: Next Phillies Manager" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 16 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "A.J. Ellis" at 47%, followed by "Daniel Descalso" at 47%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 47¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 47% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"MLB: Next Phillies Manager" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Apr 28, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "MLB: Next Phillies Manager," browse the 16 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MLB: Next Phillies Manager" is "A.J. Ellis" at 47%, meaning the market assigns a 47% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Daniel Descalso" at 47%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MLB: Next Phillies Manager" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.