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Sports·Awards

MLB: NL Manager of the Year

icon for MLB: NL Manager of the Year
Sports·Awards

MLB: NL Manager of the Year

Walt Weiss 43%

Pat Murphy 19.3%

Torey Lovullo 11.3%

Don Kelly 8%

Polymarket

$133,616 Vol.

Walt Weiss 43%

Pat Murphy 19.3%

Torey Lovullo 11.3%

Don Kelly 8%

Polymarket

$133,616 Vol.

Walt Weiss

$26,728 Vol.

40%

Pat Murphy

$9,151 Vol.

19%

Torey Lovullo

$285 Vol.

20%

Don Kelly

$1,198 Vol.

8%

Oliver Marmol

$1,291 Vol.

26%

Clayton McCullough

$5,600 Vol.

10%

Craig Counsell

$636 Vol.

26%

Blake Butera

$2,807 Vol.

4%

Tony Vitello

$234 Vol.

2%

Craig Stammen

$691 Vol.

1%

Dave Roberts

$900 Vol.

1%

Warren Schaeffer

$3,679 Vol.

1%

Carlos Mendoza

$21,897 Vol.

1%

Terry Francona

$3,169 Vol.

1%

Rob Thomson

$55,352 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the manager who wins the 2026 National League Manager of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the manager whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Walt Weiss leads NL Manager of the Year trader consensus at 45% implied probability after guiding the Atlanta Braves to a strong 2026 record exceeding .590 through mid-August, reflecting a successful transition following Brian Snitker’s retirement and delivering standout results with a competitive roster. Craig Counsell’s 24.1% share ties to the Chicago Cubs’ consistent contention in the division despite payroll constraints, while Pat Murphy’s 19.1% reflects the Milwaukee Brewers’ sustained playoff positioning under his continued leadership. Clayton McCullough and Torey Lovullo register around 10% each amid solid Marlins and Diamondbacks showings relative to preseason expectations. Recent form, divisional standings, and roster management in a tight NL race continue to shape these probabilities ahead of the stretch run.

This market will resolve to the manager who wins the 2026 National League Manager of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the manager whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$133,616
End Date
Dec 19, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 26, 2026, 5:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the manager who wins the 2026 National League Manager of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the manager whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the manager who wins the 2026 National League Manager of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the manager whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Walt Weiss leads NL Manager of the Year trader consensus at 45% implied probability after guiding the Atlanta Braves to a strong 2026 record exceeding .590 through mid-August, reflecting a successful transition following Brian Snitker’s retirement and delivering standout results with a competitive roster. Craig Counsell’s 24.1% share ties to the Chicago Cubs’ consistent contention in the division despite payroll constraints, while Pat Murphy’s 19.1% reflects the Milwaukee Brewers’ sustained playoff positioning under his continued leadership. Clayton McCullough and Torey Lovullo register around 10% each amid solid Marlins and Diamondbacks showings relative to preseason expectations. Recent form, divisional standings, and roster management in a tight NL race continue to shape these probabilities ahead of the stretch run.

This market will resolve to the manager who wins the 2026 National League Manager of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the manager whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$133,616
End Date
Dec 19, 2026
Market Opened
Mar 26, 2026, 5:36 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the manager who wins the 2026 National League Manager of the Year award for the 2026 MLB Season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the manager whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"MLB: NL Manager of the Year" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 15 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Walt Weiss" at 40%, followed by "Oliver Marmol" at 26%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 40¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 40% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "MLB: NL Manager of the Year" has generated $133.6K in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 26, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "MLB: NL Manager of the Year," browse the 15 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MLB: NL Manager of the Year" is "Walt Weiss" at 40%, meaning the market assigns a 40% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Oliver Marmol" at 26%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MLB: NL Manager of the Year" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.