The MLS 2026 Defender of the Year race remains exceptionally tight, with trader consensus pricing Jackson Ragen, Robert Voloder, Micael, Justen Glad, and several other center backs within a narrow band of implied probabilities around 30-34%. Multiple teams feature organized backlines posting strong records through mid-August, including limited goals conceded and consistent clean sheets that elevate several candidates. Factors such as recent form, minutes played in high-stakes matches, and head-to-head defensive contributions across the Eastern and Western conferences keep the field bunched, as no single defender has separated statistically or through standout individual performances. Historical voting patterns and roster stability further support the competitive spread among established MLS center backs.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedAaron Long 49.1%
Jackson Ragen 34.2%
Jack Maher 33.1%
Robert Voloder 33%
$901,434 Vol.
$901,434 Vol.
Aaron Long
25%
Jackson Ragen
34%
Jack Maher
33%
Robert Voloder
33%
Justen Glad
32%
Micael
30%
Noah Eile
30%
Kamal Miller
30%
Andreas Maxsø
30%
Donovan Pines
29%
Tomás Avilés
29%
Joel Waterman
29%
Birk Risa
29%
Walker Zimmerman
29%
Rodrigues
28%
Henry Kessler
28%
Andrés Reyes
8%
Thiago Martins
7%
Dany Rosero
5%
Sebastien Ibeagha
5%
Mauricio Pineda
5%
Miguel Tapias
5%
Yevhen Cheberko
4%
David Brekalo
4%
Maximiliano Falcón
4%
Sean Nealis
4%
Erik Sviatchenko
4%
Jalen Neal
3%
Lucas Bartlett
2%
Christopher McVey
2%
Andrew Privett
2%
Lalas Abubakar
2%
Jack Elliott
1%
Yeimar Gómez Andrade
1%
Gabriele Corbo
1%
Brendan Hines-Ike
1%
Stian Gregersen
1%
Joakim Nilsson
1%
Michael Boxall
1%
Eddie Segura
1%
Kevin Long
1%
Matt Miazga
1%
Sigurd Rosted
1%
Ranko Veselinović
1%
Enea Mihaj
1%
Carlos Terán
1%
Marcelo Silva
1%
Tim Parker
1%
Miles Robinson
<1%
Maya Yoshida
<1%
Adilson Malanda
11%
Tristan Blackmon
29%
Robin Jansson
27%
Zac McGraw
28%
Dave Romney
28%
Jakob Glesnes
31%
Rudy Camacho
29%
Oleksandr Svatok
32%
Nkosi Tafari
29%
Daniel Munie
32%
Aaron Long 49.1%
Jackson Ragen 34.2%
Jack Maher 33.1%
Robert Voloder 33%
$901,434 Vol.
$901,434 Vol.
Aaron Long
25%
Jackson Ragen
34%
Jack Maher
33%
Robert Voloder
33%
Justen Glad
32%
Micael
30%
Noah Eile
30%
Kamal Miller
30%
Andreas Maxsø
30%
Donovan Pines
29%
Tomás Avilés
29%
Joel Waterman
29%
Birk Risa
29%
Walker Zimmerman
29%
Rodrigues
28%
Henry Kessler
28%
Andrés Reyes
8%
Thiago Martins
7%
Dany Rosero
5%
Sebastien Ibeagha
5%
Mauricio Pineda
5%
Miguel Tapias
5%
Yevhen Cheberko
4%
David Brekalo
4%
Maximiliano Falcón
4%
Sean Nealis
4%
Erik Sviatchenko
4%
Jalen Neal
3%
Lucas Bartlett
2%
Christopher McVey
2%
Andrew Privett
2%
Lalas Abubakar
2%
Jack Elliott
1%
Yeimar Gómez Andrade
1%
Gabriele Corbo
1%
Brendan Hines-Ike
1%
Stian Gregersen
1%
Joakim Nilsson
1%
Michael Boxall
1%
Eddie Segura
1%
Kevin Long
1%
Matt Miazga
1%
Sigurd Rosted
1%
Ranko Veselinović
1%
Enea Mihaj
1%
Carlos Terán
1%
Marcelo Silva
1%
Tim Parker
1%
Miles Robinson
<1%
Maya Yoshida
<1%
Adilson Malanda
11%
Tristan Blackmon
29%
Robin Jansson
27%
Zac McGraw
28%
Dave Romney
28%
Jakob Glesnes
31%
Rudy Camacho
29%
Oleksandr Svatok
32%
Nkosi Tafari
29%
Daniel Munie
32%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLS rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Feb 17, 2026, 2:56 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLS rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.
If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...The MLS 2026 Defender of the Year race remains exceptionally tight, with trader consensus pricing Jackson Ragen, Robert Voloder, Micael, Justen Glad, and several other center backs within a narrow band of implied probabilities around 30-34%. Multiple teams feature organized backlines posting strong records through mid-August, including limited goals conceded and consistent clean sheets that elevate several candidates. Factors such as recent form, minutes played in high-stakes matches, and head-to-head defensive contributions across the Eastern and Western conferences keep the field bunched, as no single defender has separated statistically or through standout individual performances. Historical voting patterns and roster stability further support the competitive spread among established MLS center backs.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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