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Sports·Nascar

NASCAR Brickyard 400: Winner

icon for NASCAR Brickyard 400: Winner
Sports·Nascar

NASCAR Brickyard 400: Winner

Darrell Wallace Jr 50%

Denny Hamlin 49%

Corey Heim 48%

Kyle Larson 48%

Polymarket
NEW

Darrell Wallace Jr 50%

Denny Hamlin 49%

Corey Heim 48%

Kyle Larson 48%

Polymarket
NEW

Darrell Wallace Jr

$0 Vol.

50%

Denny Hamlin

$0 Vol.

49%

Corey Heim

$0 Vol.

48%

Kyle Larson

$0 Vol.

48%

Ty Gibbs

$0 Vol.

47%

Casey Mears

$0 Vol.

47%

Cody Ware

$0 Vol.

47%

Cole Custer

$0 Vol.

47%

Carson Hocevar

$0 Vol.

47%

Daniel Dye

$0 Vol.

47%

Shane Van Gisbergen

$0 Vol.

47%

Connor Zilisch

$0 Vol.

47%

Brad Keselowski

$0 Vol.

47%

Ricky Stenhouse Jr

$0 Vol.

47%

Chase Elliott

$0 Vol.

47%

Joey Logano

$0 Vol.

47%

Chris Buescher

$0 Vol.

47%

Michael McDowell

$0 Vol.

47%

Ty Dillon

$0 Vol.

47%

Daniel Suarez

$0 Vol.

47%

Erik Jones

$0 Vol.

47%

Tyler Reddick

$0 Vol.

47%

William Byron

$0 Vol.

47%

John Hunter Nemechek

$0 Vol.

47%

Austin Hill

$0 Vol.

47%

Josh Berry

$0 Vol.

47%

Noah Gragson

$0 Vol.

47%

Chase Briscoe

$0 Vol.

47%

Riley Herbst

$0 Vol.

47%

Zane Smith

$0 Vol.

47%

AJ Allmendinger

$0 Vol.

46%

Ryan Blaney

$0 Vol.

46%

Ryan Preece

$0 Vol.

46%

Alex Bowman

$0 Vol.

46%

Christopher Bell

$0 Vol.

46%

Austin Cindric

$0 Vol.

46%

Austin Dillon

$0 Vol.

45%

Ross Chastain

$0 Vol.

45%

Todd Gilliland

$50 Vol.

24%

This is a Polymarket on the winner of the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series Brickyard 400 presented by PPG, scheduled for Jul 26, 2026. If the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series Brickyard 400 presented by PPG is canceled or rescheduled to a date 7 days after the original scheduled date, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Official Race Results published by NASCAR following the conclusion of the race. The official results are typically released shortly after the race ends and include any applied penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the official results will not affect market resolution. The timing of the victory lane ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only NASCAR's published results will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source will be the official NASCAR website (nascar.com) and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.The Brickyard 400 at Indianapolis Motor Speedway's 2.5-mile oval features a highly competitive field where no single driver dominates trader consensus, reflected in the tight clustering of implied probabilities around 50%. Denny Hamlin's points lead and consistent recent form provide a slight edge, but the track's emphasis on long-run speed, tire management, fuel strategy, and drafting rewards multiple contenders including Tyler Reddick, Ryan Blaney, Kyle Larson, and Chase Elliott. Hendrick and Joe Gibbs Racing equipment has historically performed well here, while parity across the Cup Series—exacerbated by the Next Gen car—keeps outcomes unpredictable even for strong road-course or superspeedway performers. Recent season results and entry list depth reinforce why the market remains bunched ahead of qualifying and practice.

This is a Polymarket on the winner of the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series Brickyard 400 presented by PPG, scheduled for Jul 26, 2026.

If the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series Brickyard 400 presented by PPG is canceled or rescheduled to a date 7 days after the original scheduled date, this market will resolve to "Other."

This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Official Race Results published by NASCAR following the conclusion of the race. The official results are typically released shortly after the race ends and include any applied penalties and official adjustments.

Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the official results will not affect market resolution. The timing of the victory lane ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only NASCAR's published results will be used to resolve this market.

The resolution source will be the official NASCAR website (nascar.com) and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Volume
$50
End Date
Aug 2, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 21, 2026, 7:31 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.nascar.com

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This is a Polymarket on the winner of the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series Brickyard 400 presented by PPG, scheduled for Jul 26, 2026. If the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series Brickyard 400 presented by PPG is canceled or rescheduled to a date 7 days after the original scheduled date, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Official Race Results published by NASCAR following the conclusion of the race. The official results are typically released shortly after the race ends and include any applied penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the official results will not affect market resolution. The timing of the victory lane ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only NASCAR's published results will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source will be the official NASCAR website (nascar.com) and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
This is a Polymarket on the winner of the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series Brickyard 400 presented by PPG, scheduled for Jul 26, 2026. If the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series Brickyard 400 presented by PPG is canceled or rescheduled to a date 7 days after the original scheduled date, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Official Race Results published by NASCAR following the conclusion of the race. The official results are typically released shortly after the race ends and include any applied penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the official results will not affect market resolution. The timing of the victory lane ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only NASCAR's published results will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source will be the official NASCAR website (nascar.com) and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.The Brickyard 400 at Indianapolis Motor Speedway's 2.5-mile oval features a highly competitive field where no single driver dominates trader consensus, reflected in the tight clustering of implied probabilities around 50%. Denny Hamlin's points lead and consistent recent form provide a slight edge, but the track's emphasis on long-run speed, tire management, fuel strategy, and drafting rewards multiple contenders including Tyler Reddick, Ryan Blaney, Kyle Larson, and Chase Elliott. Hendrick and Joe Gibbs Racing equipment has historically performed well here, while parity across the Cup Series—exacerbated by the Next Gen car—keeps outcomes unpredictable even for strong road-course or superspeedway performers. Recent season results and entry list depth reinforce why the market remains bunched ahead of qualifying and practice.

This is a Polymarket on the winner of the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series Brickyard 400 presented by PPG, scheduled for Jul 26, 2026.

If the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series Brickyard 400 presented by PPG is canceled or rescheduled to a date 7 days after the original scheduled date, this market will resolve to "Other."

This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Official Race Results published by NASCAR following the conclusion of the race. The official results are typically released shortly after the race ends and include any applied penalties and official adjustments.

Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the official results will not affect market resolution. The timing of the victory lane ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only NASCAR's published results will be used to resolve this market.

The resolution source will be the official NASCAR website (nascar.com) and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Volume
$50
End Date
Aug 2, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 21, 2026, 7:31 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.nascar.com

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This is a Polymarket on the winner of the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series Brickyard 400 presented by PPG, scheduled for Jul 26, 2026. If the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series Brickyard 400 presented by PPG is canceled or rescheduled to a date 7 days after the original scheduled date, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Official Race Results published by NASCAR following the conclusion of the race. The official results are typically released shortly after the race ends and include any applied penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the official results will not affect market resolution. The timing of the victory lane ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only NASCAR's published results will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source will be the official NASCAR website (nascar.com) and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"NASCAR Brickyard 400: Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 39 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Darrell Wallace Jr" at 50%, followed by "Denny Hamlin" at 49%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 50¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"NASCAR Brickyard 400: Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Jul 21, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "NASCAR Brickyard 400: Winner," browse the 39 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "NASCAR Brickyard 400: Winner" is "Darrell Wallace Jr" at 50%, meaning the market assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Denny Hamlin" at 49%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "NASCAR Brickyard 400: Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.