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icon for NASCAR: Hollywood Casino 400  Winner

NASCAR: Hollywood Casino 400 Winner

icon for NASCAR: Hollywood Casino 400  Winner

NASCAR: Hollywood Casino 400 Winner

Tyler Reddick 99%

Austin Hill 99%

Noah Gragson 99%

Connor Zilisch 99%

Polymarket
NEW

Tyler Reddick 99%

Austin Hill 99%

Noah Gragson 99%

Connor Zilisch 99%

Polymarket
NEW

Tyler Reddick

$0 Vol.

99%

Austin Hill

$0 Vol.

99%

Noah Gragson

$0 Vol.

99%

Connor Zilisch

$0 Vol.

99%

Christopher Bell

$0 Vol.

98%

William Byron

$0 Vol.

98%

John Hunter Nemechek

$0 Vol.

98%

Josh Berry

$0 Vol.

98%

Austin Cindric

$0 Vol.

98%

Chase Briscoe

$0 Vol.

98%

Todd Gilliland

$0 Vol.

98%

Riley Herbst

$0 Vol.

98%

Zane Smith

$0 Vol.

98%

Shane Van Gisbergen

$0 Vol.

98%

AJ Allmendinger

$0 Vol.

97%

Austin Dillon

$0 Vol.

97%

Ty Dillon

$0 Vol.

97%

Cole Custer

$0 Vol.

97%

Carson Hocevar

$0 Vol.

97%

Ty Gibbs

$0 Vol.

95%

Brad Keselowski

$0 Vol.

74%

Kyle Larson

$0 Vol.

74%

Ricky Stenhouse Jr

$0 Vol.

74%

Denny Hamlin

$0 Vol.

74%

Joey Logano

$0 Vol.

74%

Chase Elliott

$0 Vol.

74%

Ryan Blaney

$0 Vol.

74%

Chris Buescher

$0 Vol.

74%

Michael McDowell

$0 Vol.

74%

Daniel Suarez

$0 Vol.

74%

Erik Jones

$0 Vol.

74%

Darrell Wallace Jr

$0 Vol.

74%

Ryan Preece

$0 Vol.

74%

Ross Chastain

$0 Vol.

74%

Cody Ware

$0 Vol.

74%

Alex Bowman

$0 Vol.

74%

This is a Polymarket on the winner of the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series Hollywood Casino 400 , scheduled for Sep 27, 2026. If the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series Hollywood Casino 400 is canceled or rescheduled to a date 7 days after the original scheduled date, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Official Race Results published by NASCAR following the conclusion of the race. The official results are typically released shortly after the race ends and include any applied penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the official results will not affect market resolution. The timing of the victory lane ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only NASCAR's published results will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source will be the official NASCAR website (nascar.com) and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.The Hollywood Casino 400 at Kansas Speedway features an unusually deep and balanced field, with the 1.5-mile intermediate oval's progressive banking and multiple racing lines enabling strong runs from a wide group of drivers rather than a single standout. Recent Chase standings show Kyle Larson narrowly ahead of Denny Hamlin, with Joey Logano, Christopher Bell, and others clustered tightly behind, underscoring how consistent intermediate-track execution can shift playoff positioning. Hamlin's four prior Kansas victories, Larson's extensive lap-leading history, and recent winners like Chase Elliott highlight experience advantages, yet tire falloff and long-run pace often reward adaptable setups over qualifying speed. This parity keeps implied probabilities tightly bunched, as small differences in restarts, strategy, or late cautions can elevate multiple contenders.

This is a Polymarket on the winner of the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series Hollywood Casino 400 , scheduled for Sep 27, 2026.

If the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series Hollywood Casino 400 is canceled or rescheduled to a date 7 days after the original scheduled date, this market will resolve to "Other."

This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Official Race Results published by NASCAR following the conclusion of the race. The official results are typically released shortly after the race ends and include any applied penalties and official adjustments.

Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the official results will not affect market resolution. The timing of the victory lane ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only NASCAR's published results will be used to resolve this market.

The resolution source will be the official NASCAR website (nascar.com) and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
This is a Polymarket on the winner of the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series Hollywood Casino 400 , scheduled for Sep 27, 2026. If the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series Hollywood Casino 400 is canceled or rescheduled to a date 7 days after the original scheduled date, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Official Race Results published by NASCAR following the conclusion of the race. The official results are typically released shortly after the race ends and include any applied penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the official results will not affect market resolution. The timing of the victory lane ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only NASCAR's published results will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source will be the official NASCAR website (nascar.com) and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Volume
$0
End Date
Oct 4, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 22, 2026, 7:30 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.nascar.com
This is a Polymarket on the winner of the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series Hollywood Casino 400 , scheduled for Sep 27, 2026. If the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series Hollywood Casino 400 is canceled or rescheduled to a date 7 days after the original scheduled date, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Official Race Results published by NASCAR following the conclusion of the race. The official results are typically released shortly after the race ends and include any applied penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the official results will not affect market resolution. The timing of the victory lane ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only NASCAR's published results will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source will be the official NASCAR website (nascar.com) and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.The Hollywood Casino 400 at Kansas Speedway features an unusually deep and balanced field, with the 1.5-mile intermediate oval's progressive banking and multiple racing lines enabling strong runs from a wide group of drivers rather than a single standout. Recent Chase standings show Kyle Larson narrowly ahead of Denny Hamlin, with Joey Logano, Christopher Bell, and others clustered tightly behind, underscoring how consistent intermediate-track execution can shift playoff positioning. Hamlin's four prior Kansas victories, Larson's extensive lap-leading history, and recent winners like Chase Elliott highlight experience advantages, yet tire falloff and long-run pace often reward adaptable setups over qualifying speed. This parity keeps implied probabilities tightly bunched, as small differences in restarts, strategy, or late cautions can elevate multiple contenders.

This is a Polymarket on the winner of the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series Hollywood Casino 400 , scheduled for Sep 27, 2026.

If the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series Hollywood Casino 400 is canceled or rescheduled to a date 7 days after the original scheduled date, this market will resolve to "Other."

This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Official Race Results published by NASCAR following the conclusion of the race. The official results are typically released shortly after the race ends and include any applied penalties and official adjustments.

Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the official results will not affect market resolution. The timing of the victory lane ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only NASCAR's published results will be used to resolve this market.

The resolution source will be the official NASCAR website (nascar.com) and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
This is a Polymarket on the winner of the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series Hollywood Casino 400 , scheduled for Sep 27, 2026. If the 2026 NASCAR Cup Series Hollywood Casino 400 is canceled or rescheduled to a date 7 days after the original scheduled date, this market will resolve to "Other." This market will resolve in favor of the driver who is officially listed in first place in the Official Race Results published by NASCAR following the conclusion of the race. The official results are typically released shortly after the race ends and include any applied penalties and official adjustments. Disqualifications or changes made after the publication of the official results will not affect market resolution. The timing of the victory lane ceremony does not determine the result for this market — only NASCAR's published results will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source will be the official NASCAR website (nascar.com) and a consensus of credible sports news reporting.
Volume
$0
End Date
Oct 4, 2026
Market Opened
Sep 22, 2026, 7:30 AM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.nascar.com

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"NASCAR: Hollywood Casino 400 Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 36 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Tyler Reddick" at 50%, followed by "Austin Hill" at 50%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 50¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"NASCAR: Hollywood Casino 400 Winner" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 22, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "NASCAR: Hollywood Casino 400 Winner," browse the 36 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "NASCAR: Hollywood Casino 400 Winner" is "Tyler Reddick" at 50%, meaning the market assigns a 50% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Austin Hill" at 50%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "NASCAR: Hollywood Casino 400 Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.