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icon for NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series Champion (2026)
Sports·NASCAR Xfinity Series

NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series Champion (2026)

icon for NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series Champion (2026)
Sports·NASCAR Xfinity Series

NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series Champion (2026)

Justin Allgaier 35%

Parker Retzlaff 16.7%

Sheldon Creed 16.0%

Carson Kvapil 15%

Polymarket
NEW

Justin Allgaier 35%

Parker Retzlaff 16.7%

Sheldon Creed 16.0%

Carson Kvapil 15%

Polymarket
NEW

Justin Allgaier

$937 Vol.

40%

Parker Retzlaff

$20 Vol.

17%

Sheldon Creed

$670 Vol.

16%

Carson Kvapil

$350 Vol.

15%

Jesse Love

$75 Vol.

10%

Corey Day

$86 Vol.

7%

Austin Hill

$40 Vol.

6%

Brandon Jones

$83 Vol.

4%

Sam Mayer

$61 Vol.

4%

Rajah Caruth

$157 Vol.

4%

Taylor Gray

$81 Vol.

4%

Sammy Smith

$21 Vol.

3%

This market will resolve according to the driver who wins the 2026 NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series (Xfinity Series) championship. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series (Xfinity Series) championship (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series (Xfinity Series) season is cancelled, postponed after November 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no champion crowned within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from NASCAR (https://www.nascar.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Justin Allgaier holds the highest implied probability at 40.5% to win the 2026 NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series championship, followed by Sheldon Creed at 16.4%, Carson Kvapil at 14.5%, and a tight group of other playoff contenders.** The market reflects a highly competitive postseason after 27 regular-season races, where Allgaier secured the regular-season title with six wins and consistent top finishes for JR Motorsports. Creed seized the early Chase lead with victories at Bristol and strong results in the opening playoff rounds, sitting just 11 points ahead of Allgaier in the standings. Kvapil, Jesse Love, and others remain within striking distance through strong stage performances and recent form. With multiple races remaining—including Las Vegas and the finale at Homestead—the playoff format, where wins and stage points carry heavy weight, keeps several drivers viable and sustains the close trader consensus among frontrunners.

This market will resolve according to the driver who wins the 2026 NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series (Xfinity Series) championship.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series (Xfinity Series) championship (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series (Xfinity Series) season is cancelled, postponed after November 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no champion crowned within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be official information from NASCAR (https://www.nascar.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the driver who wins the 2026 NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series (Xfinity Series) championship. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series (Xfinity Series) championship (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series (Xfinity Series) season is cancelled, postponed after November 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no champion crowned within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from NASCAR (https://www.nascar.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,581
End Date
Nov 22, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 4:02 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.nascar.com

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the driver who wins the 2026 NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series (Xfinity Series) championship. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series (Xfinity Series) championship (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series (Xfinity Series) season is cancelled, postponed after November 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no champion crowned within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from NASCAR (https://www.nascar.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**Justin Allgaier holds the highest implied probability at 40.5% to win the 2026 NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series championship, followed by Sheldon Creed at 16.4%, Carson Kvapil at 14.5%, and a tight group of other playoff contenders.** The market reflects a highly competitive postseason after 27 regular-season races, where Allgaier secured the regular-season title with six wins and consistent top finishes for JR Motorsports. Creed seized the early Chase lead with victories at Bristol and strong results in the opening playoff rounds, sitting just 11 points ahead of Allgaier in the standings. Kvapil, Jesse Love, and others remain within striking distance through strong stage performances and recent form. With multiple races remaining—including Las Vegas and the finale at Homestead—the playoff format, where wins and stage points carry heavy weight, keeps several drivers viable and sustains the close trader consensus among frontrunners.

This market will resolve according to the driver who wins the 2026 NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series (Xfinity Series) championship.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series (Xfinity Series) championship (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to "No".

If the 2026 NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series (Xfinity Series) season is cancelled, postponed after November 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no champion crowned within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source will be official information from NASCAR (https://www.nascar.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve according to the driver who wins the 2026 NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series (Xfinity Series) championship. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed driver to win the 2026 NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series (Xfinity Series) championship (e.g., they are mathematically eliminated from the playoffs), the corresponding market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series (Xfinity Series) season is cancelled, postponed after November 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no champion crowned within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source will be official information from NASCAR (https://www.nascar.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$2,581
End Date
Nov 22, 2026
Market Opened
Aug 28, 2026, 4:02 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.nascar.com

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series Champion (2026)" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 20 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Justin Allgaier" at 40%, followed by "Parker Retzlaff" at 17%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 40¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 40% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series Champion (2026)" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Aug 28, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series Champion (2026)," browse the 20 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series Champion (2026)" is "Justin Allgaier" at 40%, meaning the market assigns a 40% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Parker Retzlaff" at 17%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "NASCAR O'Reilly Auto Parts Series Champion (2026)" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.