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icon for NBA Free Agency: James Harden Next Team
Sports·NBA

NBA Free Agency: James Harden Next Team

icon for NBA Free Agency: James Harden Next Team
Sports·NBA

NBA Free Agency: James Harden Next Team

Cleveland Cavaliers 100.0%

Atlanta Hawks <1%

Boston Celtics <1%

Brooklyn Nets <1%

Polymarket

$1,312,987 Vol.

Cleveland Cavaliers 100.0%

Atlanta Hawks <1%

Boston Celtics <1%

Brooklyn Nets <1%

Polymarket

$1,312,987 Vol.

Atlanta Hawks

$855,165 Vol.

No

Boston Celtics

$1,125 Vol.

No

Brooklyn Nets

$584 Vol.

No

Charlotte Hornets

$929 Vol.

No

Chicago Bulls

$929 Vol.

No

Cleveland Cavaliers

$18,316 Vol.

Yes

Dallas Mavericks

$836 Vol.

No

Denver Nuggets

$857 Vol.

No

Detroit Pistons

$1,119 Vol.

No

Golden State Warriors

$2,964 Vol.

No

Houston Rockets

$1,625 Vol.

No

Indiana Pacers

$866 Vol.

No

LA Clippers

$672 Vol.

No

Los Angeles Lakers

$1,303 Vol.

No

Memphis Grizzlies

$376,155 Vol.

No

Miami Heat

$1,252 Vol.

No

Milwaukee Bucks

$945 Vol.

No

Minnesota Timberwolves

$908 Vol.

No

New Orleans Pelicans

$564 Vol.

No

New York Knicks

$811 Vol.

No

Oklahoma City Thunder

$993 Vol.

No

Orlando Magic

$989 Vol.

No

Philadelphia 76ers

$886 Vol.

No

Phoenix Suns

$33,182 Vol.

No

Portland Trail Blazers

$1,130 Vol.

No

Sacramento Kings

$1,087 Vol.

No

San Antonio Spurs

$2,212 Vol.

No

Toronto Raptors

$2,673 Vol.

No

Utah Jazz

$912 Vol.

No

Washington Wizards

$997 Vol.

No

This market will resolve to the next team James Harden officially joins by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If James Harden does not officially join a new team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". If James Harden joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to "Other". If James Harden is released, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". An official signing announcement prior to the market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from the NBA and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.The Cleveland Cavaliers' official re-signing of James Harden to a multi-year deal on September 8, 2026, has driven the market's 100% implied probability on that outcome. After arriving via midseason trade from the Clippers, the veteran guard posted 20.5 points and 7.7 assists per game in 26 regular-season outings, helping Cleveland reach the Eastern Conference Finals for the first time since 2018. Harden opted out of his prior player option in June explicitly to pursue longer-term security with the Cavs, and the sides agreed to a reported three-year, $97 million pact with a player option and trade kicker once salary-cap maneuvers were completed. Trader consensus reflects these confirmed developments, including Harden's public preference for remaining alongside Donovan Mitchell. Late contract disputes or unforeseen league interventions represent the only realistic paths that could shift the outcome at this stage.

This market will resolve to the next team James Harden officially joins by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

If James Harden does not officially join a new team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

If James Harden joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to "Other".

If James Harden is released, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

An official signing announcement prior to the market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option.

The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from the NBA and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.This market will resolve to the next team James Harden officially joins by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If James Harden does not officially join a new team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". If James Harden joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to "Other". If James Harden is released, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". An official signing announcement prior to the market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from the NBA and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.
Volume
$1,312,987
End Date
Oct 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 22, 2026, 8:02 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

This market will resolve to the next team James Harden officially joins by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If James Harden does not officially join a new team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". If James Harden joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to "Other". If James Harden is released, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". An official signing announcement prior to the market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from the NBA and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.The Cleveland Cavaliers' official re-signing of James Harden to a multi-year deal on September 8, 2026, has driven the market's 100% implied probability on that outcome. After arriving via midseason trade from the Clippers, the veteran guard posted 20.5 points and 7.7 assists per game in 26 regular-season outings, helping Cleveland reach the Eastern Conference Finals for the first time since 2018. Harden opted out of his prior player option in June explicitly to pursue longer-term security with the Cavs, and the sides agreed to a reported three-year, $97 million pact with a player option and trade kicker once salary-cap maneuvers were completed. Trader consensus reflects these confirmed developments, including Harden's public preference for remaining alongside Donovan Mitchell. Late contract disputes or unforeseen league interventions represent the only realistic paths that could shift the outcome at this stage.

This market will resolve to the next team James Harden officially joins by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

If James Harden does not officially join a new team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

If James Harden joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to "Other".

If James Harden is released, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

An official signing announcement prior to the market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option.

The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from the NBA and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.This market will resolve to the next team James Harden officially joins by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If James Harden does not officially join a new team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". If James Harden joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to "Other". If James Harden is released, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". An official signing announcement prior to the market's close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from the NBA and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.
Volume
$1,312,987
End Date
Oct 31, 2026
Market Opened
Jun 22, 2026, 8:02 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

Outcome proposed: Yes

No dispute

Final outcome: Yes

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Frequently Asked Questions

"NBA Free Agency: James Harden Next Team" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 30 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Cleveland Cavaliers" at 100%, followed by "Atlanta Hawks" at 0%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 100¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "NBA Free Agency: James Harden Next Team" has generated $1.3 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jun 22, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "NBA Free Agency: James Harden Next Team," browse the 30 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "NBA Free Agency: James Harden Next Team" is "Cleveland Cavaliers" at 100%, meaning the market assigns a 100% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Atlanta Hawks" at 0%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "NBA Free Agency: James Harden Next Team" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.