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icon for NBA Playoffs: Team to advance to Western Conference Semifinals
Sports·NBA

NBA Playoffs: Team to advance to Western Conference Semifinals

icon for NBA Playoffs: Team to advance to Western Conference Semifinals
Sports·NBA

NBA Playoffs: Team to advance to Western Conference Semifinals

NEW
May 5, 2027
Polymarket

$5,209 Vol.

Polymarket

Oklahoma City Thunder

$2 Vol.

79%

San Antonio Spurs

$5 Vol.

77%

Minnesota Timberwolves

$0 Vol.

47%

Denver Nuggets

$0 Vol.

36%

Houston Rockets

$0 Vol.

34%

Los Angeles Lakers

$0 Vol.

32%

Portland Trail Blazers

$0 Vol.

25%

Golden State Warriors

$0 Vol.

22%

Dallas Mavericks

$0 Vol.

15%

Phoenix Suns

$0 Vol.

15%

LA Clippers

$0 Vol.

14%

Utah Jazz

$21 Vol.

8%

Sacramento Kings

$6 Vol.

4%

Memphis Grizzlies

$2,525 Vol.

3%

New Orleans Pelicans

$2,649 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the Western Conference Semifinals of the 2027 NBA Playoffs. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to advance to the Western Conference Semifinals of the 2027 NBA Playoffs (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2027 NBA Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or the Western Conference Semifinals matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA (https://www.nba.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Oklahoma City Thunder and San Antonio Spurs enter the 2026-27 season as the clear frontrunners in the Western Conference after posting 64-18 and 62-20 records in 2025-26, respectively, and meeting in a seven-game conference finals. Their depth, young cores led by Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Victor Wembanyama, and recent playoff experience give them the strongest implied probabilities of securing top seeds and advancing past the first round. Denver Nuggets, Los Angeles Lakers with Luka Doncic, Houston Rockets, and Minnesota Timberwolves with Anthony Edwards form the next tier, where roster adjustments like the Timberwolves’ addition of LaMelo Ball and health of key contributors will determine first-round outcomes. Schedule strength, injury reports, and midseason trades remain pivotal variables that could shift the four-team semifinal field.

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the Western Conference Semifinals of the 2027 NBA Playoffs.

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to advance to the Western Conference Semifinals of the 2027 NBA Playoffs (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2027 NBA Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or the Western Conference Semifinals matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA (https://www.nba.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the Western Conference Semifinals of the 2027 NBA Playoffs. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to advance to the Western Conference Semifinals of the 2027 NBA Playoffs (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2027 NBA Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or the Western Conference Semifinals matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA (https://www.nba.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$5,209
End Date
May 5, 2027
Market Opened
Sep 2, 2026, 5:53 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.nba.com/

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the Western Conference Semifinals of the 2027 NBA Playoffs. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to advance to the Western Conference Semifinals of the 2027 NBA Playoffs (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2027 NBA Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or the Western Conference Semifinals matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA (https://www.nba.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Oklahoma City Thunder and San Antonio Spurs enter the 2026-27 season as the clear frontrunners in the Western Conference after posting 64-18 and 62-20 records in 2025-26, respectively, and meeting in a seven-game conference finals. Their depth, young cores led by Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Victor Wembanyama, and recent playoff experience give them the strongest implied probabilities of securing top seeds and advancing past the first round. Denver Nuggets, Los Angeles Lakers with Luka Doncic, Houston Rockets, and Minnesota Timberwolves with Anthony Edwards form the next tier, where roster adjustments like the Timberwolves’ addition of LaMelo Ball and health of key contributors will determine first-round outcomes. Schedule strength, injury reports, and midseason trades remain pivotal variables that could shift the four-team semifinal field.

This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the Western Conference Semifinals of the 2027 NBA Playoffs.

If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to advance to the Western Conference Semifinals of the 2027 NBA Playoffs (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No".

If the 2027 NBA Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or the Western Conference Semifinals matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA (https://www.nba.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the Western Conference Semifinals of the 2027 NBA Playoffs. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed team to advance to the Western Conference Semifinals of the 2027 NBA Playoffs (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2027 NBA Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET or the Western Conference Semifinals matchups have not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NBA (https://www.nba.com/); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$5,209
End Date
May 5, 2027
Market Opened
Sep 2, 2026, 5:53 PM ET

Resolution Source

https://www.nba.com/

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"NBA Playoffs: Team to advance to Western Conference Semifinals" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 15 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Oklahoma City Thunder" at 79%, followed by "San Antonio Spurs" at 77%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 79¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 79% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"NBA Playoffs: Team to advance to Western Conference Semifinals" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on Sep 2, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "NBA Playoffs: Team to advance to Western Conference Semifinals," browse the 15 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "NBA Playoffs: Team to advance to Western Conference Semifinals" is "Oklahoma City Thunder" at 79%, meaning the market assigns a 79% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "San Antonio Spurs" at 77%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "NBA Playoffs: Team to advance to Western Conference Semifinals" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.