Kawhi Leonard’s pending trade to the Toronto Raptors, agreed upon in late June 2026 in exchange for Brandon Ingram, Gradey Dick, and multiple first-round picks, anchors trader consensus around an 81.5% implied probability for Toronto. The deal remains on hold pending the NBA’s Aspiration salary-cap circumvention investigation, yet multiple reports indicate Leonard’s camp prefers Toronto for a contract extension and expects resolution before training camp. This history of Leonard leading the Raptors to the 2019 title, combined with his stated willingness to re-sign only in Toronto or remain with the Clippers, has kept other destinations like the Spurs or Warriors at single-digit or negligible probabilities. Delays into 2027 or contract voidance could reopen the market, but current reporting has not shifted sentiment away from the Raptors as the frontrunner.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNBA: Kawhi Leonard Next Team
Toronto Raptors 85.9%
Los Angeles Clippers 12.0%
Detroit Pistons 1.8%
Golden State Warriors 1.0%
$298,006 Vol.
$298,006 Vol.
Toronto Raptors
81%
Los Angeles Clippers
12%
Detroit Pistons
2%
Golden State Warriors
1%
Denver Nuggets
1%
San Antonio Spurs
6%
Oklahoma City Thunder
<1%
Sacramento Kings
<1%
Boston Celtics
<1%
Dallas Mavericks
<1%
Indiana Pacers
<1%
Milwaukee Bucks
<1%
Orlando Magic
<1%
Washington Wizards
<1%
Los Angeles Lakers
<1%
New Orleans Pelicans
<1%
Phoenix Suns
<1%
Atlanta Hawks
<1%
Cleveland Cavaliers
<1%
Houston Rockets
<1%
Miami Heat
<1%
Chicago Bulls
<1%
Memphis Grizzlies
<1%
New York Knicks
<1%
Portland Trail Blazers
<1%
Utah Jazz
<1%
Brooklyn Nets
<1%
Minnesota Timberwolves
<1%
Philadelphia 76ers
<1%
Charlotte Hornets
<1%
Toronto Raptors 85.9%
Los Angeles Clippers 12.0%
Detroit Pistons 1.8%
Golden State Warriors 1.0%
$298,006 Vol.
$298,006 Vol.
Toronto Raptors
81%
Los Angeles Clippers
12%
Detroit Pistons
2%
Golden State Warriors
1%
Denver Nuggets
1%
San Antonio Spurs
6%
Oklahoma City Thunder
<1%
Sacramento Kings
<1%
Boston Celtics
<1%
Dallas Mavericks
<1%
Indiana Pacers
<1%
Milwaukee Bucks
<1%
Orlando Magic
<1%
Washington Wizards
<1%
Los Angeles Lakers
<1%
New Orleans Pelicans
<1%
Phoenix Suns
<1%
Atlanta Hawks
<1%
Cleveland Cavaliers
<1%
Houston Rockets
<1%
Miami Heat
<1%
Chicago Bulls
<1%
Memphis Grizzlies
<1%
New York Knicks
<1%
Portland Trail Blazers
<1%
Utah Jazz
<1%
Brooklyn Nets
<1%
Minnesota Timberwolves
<1%
Philadelphia 76ers
<1%
Charlotte Hornets
<1%
If Kawhi Leonard does not officially join a new team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Los Angeles Clippers”.
If Kawhi Leonard joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If Kawhi Leonard retires or is not under contract with any professional team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
An official acquisition announcement prior to the market’s close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from the Los Angeles Clippers and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.
Market Opened: Jun 29, 2026, 10:46 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If Kawhi Leonard does not officially join a new team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Los Angeles Clippers”.
If Kawhi Leonard joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If Kawhi Leonard retires or is not under contract with any professional team by October 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.
An official acquisition announcement prior to the market’s close date will immediately resolve this market to the corresponding option.
The primary resolution sources for this market will be official announcements from the Los Angeles Clippers and/or the acquiring team. A consensus of credible media reporting may also be used to resolve the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Kawhi Leonard’s pending trade to the Toronto Raptors, agreed upon in late June 2026 in exchange for Brandon Ingram, Gradey Dick, and multiple first-round picks, anchors trader consensus around an 81.5% implied probability for Toronto. The deal remains on hold pending the NBA’s Aspiration salary-cap circumvention investigation, yet multiple reports indicate Leonard’s camp prefers Toronto for a contract extension and expects resolution before training camp. This history of Leonard leading the Raptors to the 2019 title, combined with his stated willingness to re-sign only in Toronto or remain with the Clippers, has kept other destinations like the Spurs or Warriors at single-digit or negligible probabilities. Delays into 2027 or contract voidance could reopen the market, but current reporting has not shifted sentiment away from the Raptors as the frontrunner.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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