Republican Addison McDowell holds a commanding position in North Carolina’s 6th congressional district due to the seat’s R+9 Cook Partisan Voting Index following mid-decade redistricting, his unopposed primary path, and a substantial fundraising lead over Democratic nominee Cyril Jefferson, mayor of High Point. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with McDowell’s 2024 general-election margin exceeding 38 points. Trader consensus reflects the district’s structural partisan composition and limited competitive indicators in the current cycle. A significant Democratic national surge, late-breaking scandal involving the incumbent, or unusually high opposition turnout could narrow the margin, though historical patterns and current ratings indicate such shifts remain low-probability events before November 3.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNC-06 House Election Winner
NC-06 House Election Winner
$49,165 Vol.
$49,165 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
92%
Democratic Party
8%
$49,165 Vol.
$49,165 Vol.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$27,601 Vol.
92%
Democratic Party
$21,564 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican Addison McDowell holds a commanding position in North Carolina’s 6th congressional district due to the seat’s R+9 Cook Partisan Voting Index following mid-decade redistricting, his unopposed primary path, and a substantial fundraising lead over Democratic nominee Cyril Jefferson, mayor of High Point. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with McDowell’s 2024 general-election margin exceeding 38 points. Trader consensus reflects the district’s structural partisan composition and limited competitive indicators in the current cycle. A significant Democratic national surge, late-breaking scandal involving the incumbent, or unusually high opposition turnout could narrow the margin, though historical patterns and current ratings indicate such shifts remain low-probability events before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Market Opened: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volume
$49,165End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Republican Addison McDowell holds a commanding position in North Carolina’s 6th congressional district due to the seat’s R+9 Cook Partisan Voting Index following mid-decade redistricting, his unopposed primary path, and a substantial fundraising lead over Democratic nominee Cyril Jefferson, mayor of High Point. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with McDowell’s 2024 general-election margin exceeding 38 points. Trader consensus reflects the district’s structural partisan composition and limited competitive indicators in the current cycle. A significant Democratic national surge, late-breaking scandal involving the incumbent, or unusually high opposition turnout could narrow the margin, though historical patterns and current ratings indicate such shifts remain low-probability events before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$49,165End Date
Nov 3, 2026Market Opened
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Republican Addison McDowell holds a commanding position in North Carolina’s 6th congressional district due to the seat’s R+9 Cook Partisan Voting Index following mid-decade redistricting, his unopposed primary path, and a substantial fundraising lead over Democratic nominee Cyril Jefferson, mayor of High Point. Forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball rate the race Solid or Safe Republican, consistent with McDowell’s 2024 general-election margin exceeding 38 points. Trader consensus reflects the district’s structural partisan composition and limited competitive indicators in the current cycle. A significant Democratic national surge, late-breaking scandal involving the incumbent, or unusually high opposition turnout could narrow the margin, though historical patterns and current ratings indicate such shifts remain low-probability events before November 3.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions