The 2026 Big 12 passing touchdowns race remains tightly bunched after two weeks because the conference features an unusually deep group of returning starters and transfers with proven production or high-upside traits. Bear Bachmeier has opened with six passing scores and strong efficiency metrics for BYU, while Cutter Boley exploded for six touchdowns in Arizona State’s opener and Julian Lewis posted four scores plus a rushing touchdown in Colorado’s Week 2 win. Noah Fifita, Drew Mestemaker, Devon Dampier, Conner Weigman, and Avery Johnson enter with established volume or dual-threat pedigrees from prior seasons, and several others have flashed in limited action. No single quarterback has separated statistically or via team offensive dominance, leaving traders assigning near-equal implied probabilities across more than two dozen names.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedBear Bachmeier 99%
Conner Weigman 98%
JC French IV 97%
Alonza Barnett III 97%
Bear Bachmeier
99%
Conner Weigman
98%
JC French IV
97%
Alonza Barnett III
97%
Drew Mestemaker
96%
Avery Johnson
96%
Cutter Boley
96%
DJ Lagway
96%
Jaden Craig
96%
Will Hammond
95%
Noah Fifita
95%
Julian Lewis
95%
Jaylen Raynor
94%
Cole Ballard
94%
Devon Dampier
94%
Scotty Fox Jr.
94%
Michael Hawkins Jr.
93%
Bear Bachmeier 99%
Conner Weigman 98%
JC French IV 97%
Alonza Barnett III 97%
Bear Bachmeier
99%
Conner Weigman
98%
JC French IV
97%
Alonza Barnett III
97%
Drew Mestemaker
96%
Avery Johnson
96%
Cutter Boley
96%
DJ Lagway
96%
Jaden Craig
96%
Will Hammond
95%
Noah Fifita
95%
Julian Lewis
95%
Jaylen Raynor
94%
Cole Ballard
94%
Devon Dampier
94%
Scotty Fox Jr.
94%
Michael Hawkins Jr.
93%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with more passing yards during the 2026 NCAA FBS regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher average of passing yards per attempt during the 2026 NCAA FBS regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to "Other".
If the 2026 NCAA FBS season concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available NCAA FBS statistics for completed games.
If the 2026 NCAA FBS regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 3, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which Big 12 player led the conference in passing touchdowns within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA (https://www.ncaa.com/stats/football/fbs); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Sep 4, 2026, 3:38 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with more passing yards during the 2026 NCAA FBS regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher average of passing yards per attempt during the 2026 NCAA FBS regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to "Other".
If the 2026 NCAA FBS season concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available NCAA FBS statistics for completed games.
If the 2026 NCAA FBS regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 3, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which Big 12 player led the conference in passing touchdowns within that timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA (https://www.ncaa.com/stats/football/fbs); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 Big 12 passing touchdowns race remains tightly bunched after two weeks because the conference features an unusually deep group of returning starters and transfers with proven production or high-upside traits. Bear Bachmeier has opened with six passing scores and strong efficiency metrics for BYU, while Cutter Boley exploded for six touchdowns in Arizona State’s opener and Julian Lewis posted four scores plus a rushing touchdown in Colorado’s Week 2 win. Noah Fifita, Drew Mestemaker, Devon Dampier, Conner Weigman, and Avery Johnson enter with established volume or dual-threat pedigrees from prior seasons, and several others have flashed in limited action. No single quarterback has separated statistically or via team offensive dominance, leaving traders assigning near-equal implied probabilities across more than two dozen names.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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