Darian Mensah and Trinidad Chambliss lead the 2026 Heisman race as co-favorites on the strength of their early-season efficiency and signature wins, with the tightly bunched probabilities reflecting a wide-open field of contenders. Mensah has posted historic accuracy for Miami, completing 89.9 percent of his passes for 873 yards and 11 touchdowns with zero interceptions through three games, including an ACC-record streak of consecutive completions. Chambliss vaulted into the top spot after Ole Miss’s 32-24 Week 3 victory over LSU, throwing for 363 yards and two scores while adding a rushing touchdown. Other quarterbacks such as CJ Carr, Arch Manning, and Julian Sayin, along with Ohio State receiver Jeremiah Smith, remain within striking distance through strong statistical starts and favorable team situations, leaving room for further shifts as conference play intensifies.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNCAA Football: 2026 Heisman Award Winner
Darian Mensah 20%
Trinidad Chambliss 18%
Jeremiah Smith 9%
Arch Manning 7.1%
$18,453 Vol.
$18,453 Vol.
Darian Mensah
20%
Trinidad Chambliss
18%
Jeremiah Smith
9%
Arch Manning
7%
Gunner Stockton
6%
CJ Carr
5%
Julian Sayin
5%
Dante Moore
5%
LaNorris Sellers
5%
Malachi Toney
5%
Keelon Russell
5%
Josh Hoover
4%
Marcel Reed
4%
Drew Mestemaker
3%
Byrum Brown
3%
Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele
3%
Will Hammond
3%
Kevin Jennings
3%
Rocco Becht
3%
Brendan Sorsby
3%
Bo Jackson
3%
Sam Leavitt
3%
Kewan Lacy
3%
Ahmad Hardy
3%
Demond Williams Jr.
2%
Jayden Maiava
1%
John Mateer
1%
Austin Mack
8%
Bryce Underwood
<1%
Darian Mensah 20%
Trinidad Chambliss 18%
Jeremiah Smith 9%
Arch Manning 7.1%
$18,453 Vol.
$18,453 Vol.
Darian Mensah
20%
Trinidad Chambliss
18%
Jeremiah Smith
9%
Arch Manning
7%
Gunner Stockton
6%
CJ Carr
5%
Julian Sayin
5%
Dante Moore
5%
LaNorris Sellers
5%
Malachi Toney
5%
Keelon Russell
5%
Josh Hoover
4%
Marcel Reed
4%
Drew Mestemaker
3%
Byrum Brown
3%
Jaron-Keawe Sagapolutele
3%
Will Hammond
3%
Kevin Jennings
3%
Rocco Becht
3%
Brendan Sorsby
3%
Bo Jackson
3%
Sam Leavitt
3%
Kewan Lacy
3%
Ahmad Hardy
3%
Demond Williams Jr.
2%
Jayden Maiava
1%
John Mateer
1%
Austin Mack
8%
Bryce Underwood
<1%
If the ceremony is postponed after December 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been announced within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."
If multiple players are declared co-winners, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Heisman Trophy Trust (https://www.heisman.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 31, 2026, 6:35 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the ceremony is postponed after December 26, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or a winner has not been announced within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other."
If multiple players are declared co-winners, this market will resolve in favor of the player whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Heisman Trophy Trust (https://www.heisman.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Darian Mensah and Trinidad Chambliss lead the 2026 Heisman race as co-favorites on the strength of their early-season efficiency and signature wins, with the tightly bunched probabilities reflecting a wide-open field of contenders. Mensah has posted historic accuracy for Miami, completing 89.9 percent of his passes for 873 yards and 11 touchdowns with zero interceptions through three games, including an ACC-record streak of consecutive completions. Chambliss vaulted into the top spot after Ole Miss’s 32-24 Week 3 victory over LSU, throwing for 363 yards and two scores while adding a rushing touchdown. Other quarterbacks such as CJ Carr, Arch Manning, and Julian Sayin, along with Ohio State receiver Jeremiah Smith, remain within striking distance through strong statistical starts and favorable team situations, leaving room for further shifts as conference play intensifies.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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