The early 2026 NCAA football season has kept the Coach of the Year market tightly bunched, with multiple candidates clustered between 15-26% implied probability. Brent Venables, Josh Heupel, Steve Sarkisian, and others share similar pricing because limited regular-season results leave voters and traders without a clear frontrunner. Key factors include preseason expectations for programs like Oklahoma, Tennessee, and Texas, combined with roster continuity, recruiting momentum, and early performance trends. Historical patterns show the award often rewards teams exceeding projections or navigating tough schedules, sustaining competitive dynamics across a broad field until more decisive outcomes emerge.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedBrent Venables 52%
Josh Heupel 52%
Steve Sarkisian 50%
Matt Campbell 50%
NEW
NEW
Feb 10, 2027
Brent Venables
52%
Josh Heupel
52%
Steve Sarkisian
50%
Matt Campbell
50%
Mike Elko
50%
Pete Golding
50%
Bill Belichick
50%
James Franklin
50%
Jerry Mack
50%
Tony Elliott
50%
Joey McGuire
50%
Kalen DeBoer
50%
Kalani Sitake
50%
Matt Rhule
50%
D
50%
E
50%
F
50%
I
50%
J
50%
K
50%
L
50%
Jim Mora
49%
Kirby Smart
48%
Clark Lea
46%
Bob Chesney
46%
Jon Sumrall
46%
H
34%
Marcus Freeman
33%
Dan Lanning
33%
Lane Kiffin
33%
Curt Cignetti
33%
Ryan Day
33%
Kyle Whittingham
33%
Lincoln Riley
33%
Deion Sanders
33%
G
33%
M
33%
Mario Cristobal
31%
Brent Venables 52%
Josh Heupel 52%
Steve Sarkisian 50%
Matt Campbell 50%
NEW
NEW
Feb 10, 2027
Brent Venables
$0 Vol.
52%
Josh Heupel
$0 Vol.
52%
Steve Sarkisian
$0 Vol.
50%
Matt Campbell
$0 Vol.
50%
Mike Elko
$0 Vol.
50%
Pete Golding
$0 Vol.
50%
Bill Belichick
$0 Vol.
50%
James Franklin
$0 Vol.
50%
Jerry Mack
$0 Vol.
50%
Tony Elliott
$0 Vol.
50%
Joey McGuire
$0 Vol.
50%
Kalen DeBoer
$0 Vol.
50%
Kalani Sitake
$0 Vol.
50%
Matt Rhule
$0 Vol.
50%
D
$0 Vol.
50%
E
$0 Vol.
50%
F
$0 Vol.
50%
I
$0 Vol.
50%
J
$0 Vol.
50%
K
$0 Vol.
50%
L
$0 Vol.
50%
Jim Mora
$0 Vol.
49%
Kirby Smart
$0 Vol.
48%
Clark Lea
$0 Vol.
46%
Bob Chesney
$0 Vol.
46%
Jon Sumrall
$0 Vol.
46%
H
$0 Vol.
34%
Marcus Freeman
$0 Vol.
33%
Dan Lanning
$0 Vol.
33%
Lane Kiffin
$0 Vol.
33%
Curt Cignetti
$120 Vol.
33%
Ryan Day
$0 Vol.
33%
Kyle Whittingham
$0 Vol.
33%
Lincoln Riley
$0 Vol.
33%
Deion Sanders
$0 Vol.
33%
G
$0 Vol.
33%
M
$0 Vol.
33%
Mario Cristobal
$0 Vol.
31%
This market will resolve according to the coach who wins the 2026 AP Coach of the Year Award, currently scheduled to be announced on January 27, 2027.
If the award is not presented, is canceled, or a winner has not been announced by February 10, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."
If multiple coaches are named co-winners, this market will resolve in favor of the coach whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from AP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The early 2026 NCAA football season has kept the Coach of the Year market tightly bunched, with multiple candidates clustered between 15-26% implied probability. Brent Venables, Josh Heupel, Steve Sarkisian, and others share similar pricing because limited regular-season results leave voters and traders without a clear frontrunner. Key factors include preseason expectations for programs like Oklahoma, Tennessee, and Texas, combined with roster continuity, recruiting momentum, and early performance trends. Historical patterns show the award often rewards teams exceeding projections or navigating tough schedules, sustaining competitive dynamics across a broad field until more decisive outcomes emerge.
This market will resolve according to the coach who wins the 2026 AP Coach of the Year Award, currently scheduled to be announced on January 27, 2027.
If the award is not presented, is canceled, or a winner has not been announced by February 10, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."
If multiple coaches are named co-winners, this market will resolve in favor of the coach whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from AP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the award is not presented, is canceled, or a winner has not been announced by February 10, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."
If multiple coaches are named co-winners, this market will resolve in favor of the coach whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from AP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Aug 5, 2026, 2:18 PM ET
Volume
$120End Date
Feb 11, 2027Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 2:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the coach who wins the 2026 AP Coach of the Year Award, currently scheduled to be announced on January 27, 2027.
If the award is not presented, is canceled, or a winner has not been announced by February 10, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."
If multiple coaches are named co-winners, this market will resolve in favor of the coach whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from AP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The early 2026 NCAA football season has kept the Coach of the Year market tightly bunched, with multiple candidates clustered between 15-26% implied probability. Brent Venables, Josh Heupel, Steve Sarkisian, and others share similar pricing because limited regular-season results leave voters and traders without a clear frontrunner. Key factors include preseason expectations for programs like Oklahoma, Tennessee, and Texas, combined with roster continuity, recruiting momentum, and early performance trends. Historical patterns show the award often rewards teams exceeding projections or navigating tough schedules, sustaining competitive dynamics across a broad field until more decisive outcomes emerge.
This market will resolve according to the coach who wins the 2026 AP Coach of the Year Award, currently scheduled to be announced on January 27, 2027.
If the award is not presented, is canceled, or a winner has not been announced by February 10, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."
If multiple coaches are named co-winners, this market will resolve in favor of the coach whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from AP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If the award is not presented, is canceled, or a winner has not been announced by February 10, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other."
If multiple coaches are named co-winners, this market will resolve in favor of the coach whose listed name comes first alphabetically.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from AP; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$120End Date
Feb 11, 2027Market Opened
Aug 5, 2026, 2:18 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The early 2026 NCAA football season has kept the Coach of the Year market tightly bunched, with multiple candidates clustered between 15-26% implied probability. Brent Venables, Josh Heupel, Steve Sarkisian, and others share similar pricing because limited regular-season results leave voters and traders without a clear frontrunner. Key factors include preseason expectations for programs like Oklahoma, Tennessee, and Texas, combined with roster continuity, recruiting momentum, and early performance trends. Historical patterns show the award often rewards teams exceeding projections or navigating tough schedules, sustaining competitive dynamics across a broad field until more decisive outcomes emerge.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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