Incumbent Republican Governor Kelly Ayotte holds a consistent polling edge for re-election in New Hampshire, reflecting her strong approval ratings and the state's recent Republican trifecta at the statewide level. The open U.S. Senate seat, vacated by retiring Democrat Jeanne Shaheen, features a competitive matchup between Democratic Representative Chris Pappas and Republican John Sununu, with recent surveys from June 2026 showing Pappas holding a narrow lead or statistical tie. These dynamics support trader consensus around a divided outcome, as the Senate race's lean-Democratic rating by outlets like the Cook Political Report contrasts with the Likely Republican assessment for governor. Primaries scheduled for September 8 leave limited time for shifts before the November general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedReps win Gov, Dems win Senate 69%
Reps sweep 13%
Dems sweep 13%
Dems win Gov, Reps win Senate 3.0%
Reps win Gov, Dems win Senate
69%
Reps sweep
13%
Dems sweep
13%
Dems win Gov, Reps win Senate
3%
Reps win Gov, Dems win Senate 69%
Reps sweep 13%
Dems sweep 13%
Dems win Gov, Reps win Senate 3.0%
Reps win Gov, Dems win Senate
69%
Reps sweep
13%
Dems sweep
13%
Dems win Gov, Reps win Senate
3%
A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Market Opened: Aug 11, 2026, 11:11 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...A candidate will be considered to represent a party by their ballot-listed affiliation or if they are the nominee of that party. Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
If the results of these elections are not conclusively known by March 31, 2027, or if an independent or third-party candidate wins one of these elections, this market will resolve to "Other".
For purposes of this market, a "sweep" is when a party wins both races.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources have conclusively called the relevant Senate and Gubernatorial elections. If all three sources do not achieve consensus in calling the relevant races for this market, it will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Republican Governor Kelly Ayotte holds a consistent polling edge for re-election in New Hampshire, reflecting her strong approval ratings and the state's recent Republican trifecta at the statewide level. The open U.S. Senate seat, vacated by retiring Democrat Jeanne Shaheen, features a competitive matchup between Democratic Representative Chris Pappas and Republican John Sununu, with recent surveys from June 2026 showing Pappas holding a narrow lead or statistical tie. These dynamics support trader consensus around a divided outcome, as the Senate race's lean-Democratic rating by outlets like the Cook Political Report contrasts with the Likely Republican assessment for governor. Primaries scheduled for September 8 leave limited time for shifts before the November general election.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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