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Next James Bond actor?

icon for Next James Bond actor?

Next James Bond actor?

Callum Turner 27%

No Bond chosen 18%

Jacob Elordi 6.0%

Tom Holland 5.8%

Polymarket
NEW

Callum Turner 27%

No Bond chosen 18%

Jacob Elordi 6.0%

Tom Holland 5.8%

Polymarket
NEW

Callum Turner

$313 Vol.

37%

No Bond chosen

$169 Vol.

13%

Jacob Elordi

$163 Vol.

6%

Tom Holland

$87 Vol.

6%

Jack Lowdon

$94 Vol.

6%

Harris Dickinson

$123 Vol.

6%

Aaron Taylor-Johnson

$364 Vol.

5%

Theo James

$178 Vol.

4%

Henry Cavill

$89 Vol.

4%

Josh O'Connor

$1,524 Vol.

4%

James Norton

$124 Vol.

3%

Robert James-Collier

$85 Vol.

3%

Timothee Chalamet

$117 Vol.

3%

Michael B Jordan

$101 Vol.

3%

Tom Hardy

$95 Vol.

3%

Paul Mescal

$128 Vol.

3%

Pierce Brosnan

$145 Vol.

2%

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Callum Turner’s 36% implied probability reflects sustained trader consensus around persistent casting rumors, amplified by his British leading-man credentials from *Masters of the Air* and *Fantastic Beasts*, plus fresh media momentum from George Clooney’s recent endorsement and a Hollywood Reporter profile where Turner downplayed insider knowledge. Amazon MGM’s confirmed early auditions under Denis Villeneuve favor a younger actor who projects sex appeal and franchise longevity, aligning with Turner’s profile while sidelining older names like Henry Cavill. James Norton and Jacob Elordi trail as plausible alternatives amid the wide-open search, but no official shortlist or announcement has emerged, leaving room for late shifts before any casting lock.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$3,900
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
May 18, 2026, 7:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Callum Turner’s 36% implied probability reflects sustained trader consensus around persistent casting rumors, amplified by his British leading-man credentials from *Masters of the Air* and *Fantastic Beasts*, plus fresh media momentum from George Clooney’s recent endorsement and a Hollywood Reporter profile where Turner downplayed insider knowledge. Amazon MGM’s confirmed early auditions under Denis Villeneuve favor a younger actor who projects sex appeal and franchise longevity, aligning with Turner’s profile while sidelining older names like Henry Cavill. James Norton and Jacob Elordi trail as plausible alternatives amid the wide-open search, but no official shortlist or announcement has emerged, leaving room for late shifts before any casting lock.

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.

This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.

If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$3,900
End Date
Dec 31, 2026
Market Opened
May 18, 2026, 7:00 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter. If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Next James Bond actor?" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 17 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Callum Turner" at 37%, followed by "No Bond chosen" at 13%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 37¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 37% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

"Next James Bond actor?" is a newly created market on Polymarket, launched on May 18, 2026. As an early market, this is your opportunity to be among the first traders to set the odds and establish the market's initial price signals. You can also bookmark this page to track volume and trading activity as the market gains traction over time.

To trade on "Next James Bond actor?," browse the 17 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Next James Bond actor?" is "Callum Turner" at 37%, meaning the market assigns a 37% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "No Bond chosen" at 13%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Next James Bond actor?" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.