Dagmar Škodová Parmová holds the strongest position as incumbent primátorka seeking re-election through her new affiliation with Naše Česko after departing ODS, backed by continuity from the current coalition and focus on priorities such as the 2028 European Capital of Culture preparations, housing, transport infrastructure, and local services. This incumbency edge and organizational support underpin trader consensus around her leading probability. Viktor Lavička of ANO trails as the main opposition challenger, with recent September 2026 candidate debates showing viewer preference for him on some issues but limited overall momentum. Lower probabilities for candidates including Ondřej Talíř, Jan Teplý, Tomáš Chovanec, Pavel Tůma, and Richard Štěpán reflect fragmented opposition and the post-election council vote process that will determine the next mayor following the October 9–10 municipal elections.