Miroslava Ferancová holds the leading position in the market for next mayor of Olomouc due to her incumbency since January 2026 and role as ANO candidate list leader for the October 9–10 municipal elections. She succeeded Miroslav Žbánek after his election to parliament, with the governing coalition confirming her appointment. ANO finished first in the prior local vote, giving her a structural edge in a contest featuring multiple competing lists. Other candidates, including Lucie Tungul of the Milujeme Olomouc coalition, Marek Zelenka for STAN, Jan Vašíř for ODS, Matouš Pelikán for KDU-ČSL, Otakar Štěpán Bačák for spOLečně, and Pavel Jelínek for SPD-linked groups, trail with lower implied probabilities reflecting their parties’ recent vote shares and coalition positioning. The two-round voting system and ongoing campaign period leave room for shifts based on turnout or late developments before election day.