PAM's victory with 97 seats in Morocco's September 23, 2026 parliamentary elections has positioned its leader Fatima Ezzahra El Mansouri as the clear frontrunner for prime minister, as the constitution directs King Mohammed VI to appoint the head of government from the largest party. Her role coordinating the party's collegial leadership, prior ministerial experience in housing and urban policy, and public statements of readiness have reinforced trader consensus around her candidacy. Lower odds for figures from other parties, including former prime ministers and coalition partners, reflect PAM's seat advantage and the limited scope for cross-party appointments. Coalition negotiations and the king's final selection remain key variables ahead of government formation.
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