APC maintains a commanding position in trader assessments for control of Nigeria’s House of Representatives, reflecting its status as the incumbent ruling party with a two-thirds majority in the current chamber, reinforced by ongoing defections from opposition lawmakers. Recent legislative by-elections across multiple states have further demonstrated APC organizational strength and voter support at the grassroots level ahead of the January 2027 polls. The party has fielded candidates for every seat, while opposition groups including PDP, LP, NNPP, and smaller parties like ADC remain fragmented, with limited recent gains in candidate nominations or defections. Scheduled primary processes and INEC’s final candidate lists underscore APC’s structural advantages, though the fragmented opposition and regional variations in polling could still influence seat outcomes.