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icon for Nitto ATP Finals: Player to Qualify

Nitto ATP Finals: Player to Qualify

icon for Nitto ATP Finals: Player to Qualify

Nitto ATP Finals: Player to Qualify

$28,948 Vol.

Dec 6, 2026
Polymarket

$28,948 Vol.

Polymarket

Ben Shelton

$2,925 Vol.

97%

Carlos Alcaraz

$268 Vol.

95%

Flavio Cobolli

$1,312 Vol.

93%

Frances Tiafoe

$641 Vol.

78%

Arthur Fils

$2,561 Vol.

71%

Daniil Medvedev

$1,478 Vol.

48%

Taylor Fritz

$1,714 Vol.

39%

Rafael Jodar

$3,184 Vol.

38%

Felix Auger-Aliassime

$3,032 Vol.

27%

Alex de Minaur

$4,285 Vol.

18%

Jakub Mensik

$80 Vol.

15%

Tommy Paul

$391 Vol.

10%

Brandon Nakashima

$316 Vol.

6%

Learner Tien

$130 Vol.

5%

Jiri Lehecka

$1,789 Vol.

4%

Novak Djokovic

$815 Vol.

4%

Casper Ruud

$391 Vol.

4%

Joao Fonseca

$199 Vol.

4%

Alexander Blockx

$0 Vol.

4%

Ignacio Buse

$84 Vol.

4%

Alexander Bublik

$206 Vol.

4%

Valentin Vacherot

$10 Vol.

4%

Zizou Bergs

$10 Vol.

4%

Alejandro Tabilo

$110 Vol.

4%

Matteo Arnaldi

$10 Vol.

4%

Raphael Collignon

$10 Vol.

4%

Andrey Rublev

$121 Vol.

4%

Tomas Martin Etcheverry

$125 Vol.

4%

Quentin Halys

$10 Vol.

4%

Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

$177 Vol.

4%

Arthur Fery

$10 Vol.

4%

Lorenzo Musetti

$303 Vol.

3%

Stefanos Tsitsipas

$162 Vol.

3%

Luciano Darderi

$146 Vol.

3%

Francisco Cerundolo

$1,451 Vol.

3%

Ugo Humbert

$238 Vol.

2%

Mariano Navone

$252 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified player qualifies for the singles main draw of the 2026 Nitto ATP Finals, currently scheduled for November 15, 2026 to November 22, 2026, in Turin, Italy. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A player is considered to have "qualified" if they are named to one of the eight (8) singles main-draw spots according to the official ATP source. If a player qualifies but withdraws before competing, they will still be considered to have "qualified" and this market will resolve "Yes." If the tournament is postponed beyond December 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or the eight-player singles field has not been officially determined within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the ATP Tour (atptour.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**As of late September 2026, Jannik Sinner, Alexander Zverev, and Carlos Alcaraz have secured spots in the Nitto ATP Finals in Turin (November 15-22), with the top eight in the PIF ATP Live Race to Turin earning qualification.** Sinner qualified first after reaching the Wimbledon final, Zverev followed via strong results including Grand Slam success, and Alcaraz locked in his fifth consecutive appearance after the US Open. Ben Shelton holds third in the race, while Flavio Cobolli, Frances Tiafoe, Arthur Fils, Daniil Medvedev, Rafael Jodar, and Taylor Fritz lead the chase for the remaining berths, with several players eyeing ATP Finals debuts. The ongoing Asian hard-court swing and subsequent fall events will determine momentum, as points from these tournaments heavily influence final positioning ahead of the Paris Masters cutoff. Late-season form, injury management, and consistent deep runs remain the primary variables in the tightly contested middle of the race.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified player qualifies for the singles main draw of the 2026 Nitto ATP Finals, currently scheduled for November 15, 2026 to November 22, 2026, in Turin, Italy. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

A player is considered to have "qualified" if they are named to one of the eight (8) singles main-draw spots according to the official ATP source.

If a player qualifies but withdraws before competing, they will still be considered to have "qualified" and this market will resolve "Yes."

If the tournament is postponed beyond December 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or the eight-player singles field has not been officially determined within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "No."

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the ATP Tour (atptour.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified player qualifies for the singles main draw of the 2026 Nitto ATP Finals, currently scheduled for November 15, 2026 to November 22, 2026, in Turin, Italy. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A player is considered to have "qualified" if they are named to one of the eight (8) singles main-draw spots according to the official ATP source. If a player qualifies but withdraws before competing, they will still be considered to have "qualified" and this market will resolve "Yes." If the tournament is postponed beyond December 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or the eight-player singles field has not been officially determined within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the ATP Tour (atptour.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$28,948
End Date
Dec 7, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 28, 2026, 10:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified player qualifies for the singles main draw of the 2026 Nitto ATP Finals, currently scheduled for November 15, 2026 to November 22, 2026, in Turin, Italy. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A player is considered to have "qualified" if they are named to one of the eight (8) singles main-draw spots according to the official ATP source. If a player qualifies but withdraws before competing, they will still be considered to have "qualified" and this market will resolve "Yes." If the tournament is postponed beyond December 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or the eight-player singles field has not been officially determined within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the ATP Tour (atptour.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.**As of late September 2026, Jannik Sinner, Alexander Zverev, and Carlos Alcaraz have secured spots in the Nitto ATP Finals in Turin (November 15-22), with the top eight in the PIF ATP Live Race to Turin earning qualification.** Sinner qualified first after reaching the Wimbledon final, Zverev followed via strong results including Grand Slam success, and Alcaraz locked in his fifth consecutive appearance after the US Open. Ben Shelton holds third in the race, while Flavio Cobolli, Frances Tiafoe, Arthur Fils, Daniil Medvedev, Rafael Jodar, and Taylor Fritz lead the chase for the remaining berths, with several players eyeing ATP Finals debuts. The ongoing Asian hard-court swing and subsequent fall events will determine momentum, as points from these tournaments heavily influence final positioning ahead of the Paris Masters cutoff. Late-season form, injury management, and consistent deep runs remain the primary variables in the tightly contested middle of the race.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified player qualifies for the singles main draw of the 2026 Nitto ATP Finals, currently scheduled for November 15, 2026 to November 22, 2026, in Turin, Italy. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

A player is considered to have "qualified" if they are named to one of the eight (8) singles main-draw spots according to the official ATP source.

If a player qualifies but withdraws before competing, they will still be considered to have "qualified" and this market will resolve "Yes."

If the tournament is postponed beyond December 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or the eight-player singles field has not been officially determined within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "No."

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the ATP Tour (atptour.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to "Yes" if the specified player qualifies for the singles main draw of the 2026 Nitto ATP Finals, currently scheduled for November 15, 2026 to November 22, 2026, in Turin, Italy. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." A player is considered to have "qualified" if they are named to one of the eight (8) singles main-draw spots according to the official ATP source. If a player qualifies but withdraws before competing, they will still be considered to have "qualified" and this market will resolve "Yes." If the tournament is postponed beyond December 6, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, canceled, or the eight-player singles field has not been officially determined within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market will be official information from the ATP Tour (atptour.com); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$28,948
End Date
Dec 7, 2026
Market Opened
Jul 28, 2026, 10:09 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Nitto ATP Finals: Player to Qualify" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 37 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Ben Shelton" at 97%, followed by "Carlos Alcaraz" at 95%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 97¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Nitto ATP Finals: Player to Qualify" has generated $28.9K in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 28, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Nitto ATP Finals: Player to Qualify," browse the 37 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Nitto ATP Finals: Player to Qualify" is "Ben Shelton" at 97%, meaning the market assigns a 97% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Carlos Alcaraz" at 95%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Nitto ATP Finals: Player to Qualify" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.