The tightly clustered probabilities across the 24-27 million view brackets for the MrBeast video on day three reflect the typical early trajectory of his releases, where explosive initial momentum from his subscriber base and cross-platform promotion sets a high baseline before growth slows. Traders appear to be balancing historical patterns—most of his major videos hit strong first-week numbers but see diminishing daily gains after day two—against variables like thumbnail performance, title resonance, and any late social media amplification. With no single range dominating, the market highlights uncertainty around exact pacing, where sustained algorithm favor or external buzz could push totals toward the higher end while typical fatigue favors the mid-20s ranges.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated# of views of MrBeast video day 3?
27-28M 40%
26-27M 30%
25-26M 9%
28M+ 4.7%
<24M
<1%
24-25M
<1%
25-26M
9%
26-27M
50%
27-28M
40%
28M+
5%
27-28M 40%
26-27M 30%
25-26M 9%
28M+ 4.7%
<24M
<1%
24-25M
<1%
25-26M
9%
26-27M
50%
27-28M
40%
28M+
5%
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to the video titled "We Helped 100 Kids Fight Cancer", which can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lVylRtlPOIE. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Market Opened: Jul 27, 2026, 10:08 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
The resolution source for this market is MrBeast's YouTube channel (https://www.youtube.com/@MrBeast), specifically the 'views' counter for the described video.
Note: This market refers to the video titled "We Helped 100 Kids Fight Cancer", which can be found here: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lVylRtlPOIE. Shorts, previews, or other videos released other than the referenced video will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The tightly clustered probabilities across the 24-27 million view brackets for the MrBeast video on day three reflect the typical early trajectory of his releases, where explosive initial momentum from his subscriber base and cross-platform promotion sets a high baseline before growth slows. Traders appear to be balancing historical patterns—most of his major videos hit strong first-week numbers but see diminishing daily gains after day two—against variables like thumbnail performance, title resonance, and any late social media amplification. With no single range dominating, the market highlights uncertainty around exact pacing, where sustained algorithm favor or external buzz could push totals toward the higher end while typical fatigue favors the mid-20s ranges.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated

Beware of external links.
Beware of external links.
Frequently Asked Questions