$6,794,966 Vol.
$100M
20%
$100M
17%
$300M
16%
$500M
12%
$1B
14%
$2B
6%
$3B
5%
$5B
4%
$6,794,966 Vol.
$100M
20%
$100M
17%
$300M
16%
$500M
12%
$1B
14%
$2B
6%
$3B
5%
$5B
4%
The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.
"1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Opensea doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Market Opened: Mar 8, 2026, 7:29 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...OpenSea's SEA token FDV probabilities remain low amid indefinite launch delay
$100M dips to 17%4%
As the end of the analysis window approached with no token launch, market prices for the SEA token exceeding FDV thresholds remained low, reflecting persistent uncertainty and skepticism about the token's eventual release and valuation.
Market sentiment remains cautious with low probability assigned to high SEA token FDV
As of late September 2026, prediction markets assign low probabilities to the SEA token achieving high fully diluted valuations one day after launch, reflecting ongoing skepticism and lack of concrete launch details from OpenSea.
The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.
"1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Opensea doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
Resolver
0x65070BE91...OpenSea's SEA token FDV probabilities remain low amid indefinite launch delay
$100M dips to 17%4%
As the end of the analysis window approached with no token launch, market prices for the SEA token exceeding FDV thresholds remained low, reflecting persistent uncertainty and skepticism about the token's eventual release and valuation.
Market sentiment remains cautious with low probability assigned to high SEA token FDV
As of late September 2026, prediction markets assign low probabilities to the SEA token achieving high fully diluted valuations one day after launch, reflecting ongoing skepticism and lack of concrete launch details from OpenSea.
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Frequently Asked Questions