Oscars 2026: Best Actor Winner

Name: Oscars 2026: Best Actor Winner
Start: 2025-09-26T21:51:58.18841Z
End: 2026-03-15T00:00:00Z

$2,511,803 Vol.

Mar 15, 2026

Timothée Chalamet 65%

Leonardo DiCaprio 24%

Wagner Moura 5.3%

Ethan Hawke 3.4%

OUTCOME

% CHANCE

Timothée Chalamet
$211,082 Vol.
65%

Leonardo DiCaprio
$252,067 Vol.
24%

Wagner Moura
$84,735 Vol.
5%

Ethan Hawke
$150,313 Vol.
3%

Michael B. Jordan
$75,380 Vol.
3%

Jesse Plemons
$66,806 Vol.
2%

Daniel Day-Lewis
$86,429 Vol.
1%

Jeremy Allen White
$68,566 Vol.
<1%

Dwayne Johnson
$288,575 Vol.
<1%

George Clooney
$55,404 Vol.
<1%

Paul Mescal
$55,789 Vol.
<1%

Brendan Fraser
$145,360 Vol.
<1%

Channing Tatum
$295,890 Vol.
<1%

Colin Farrell
$469,764 Vol.
<1%

Hugh Jackman
$205,643 Vol.
<1%

Rules

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 98th Academy Awards in 2026, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 22, followed by the ceremony on March 15, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the listed actor who wins the 98th Academy Award for Best Actor.

If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Actor when the 2026 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Created At: Sep 26, 2025, 9:19 PM UTC

Volume

$2,511,803

End Date

Mar 15, 2026

Created At

Sep 26, 2025, 9:19 PM UTC

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Beware of external links.

$2,511,803 Vol.

Mar 15, 2026

Oscars 2026: Best Actor Winner

Timothée Chalamet 65%

Leonardo DiCaprio 24%

Wagner Moura 5.3%

Ethan Hawke 3.4%

OUTCOME

% CHANCE

Timothée Chalamet

$211,082 Vol.

65%

Leonardo DiCaprio

$252,067 Vol.

24%

Wagner Moura

$84,735 Vol.

Ethan Hawke

$150,313 Vol.

Michael B. Jordan

$75,380 Vol.

Jesse Plemons

$66,806 Vol.

Daniel Day-Lewis

$86,429 Vol.

Jeremy Allen White

$68,566 Vol.

<1%

Dwayne Johnson

$288,575 Vol.

<1%

George Clooney

$55,404 Vol.

<1%

Paul Mescal

$55,789 Vol.

<1%

Brendan Fraser

$145,360 Vol.

<1%

Channing Tatum

$295,890 Vol.

<1%

Colin Farrell

$469,764 Vol.

<1%

Hugh Jackman

$205,643 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume

$2,511,803

End Date

Mar 15, 2026

Created At

Sep 26, 2025, 9:19 PM UTC

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...

Will Stellan Skarsgård win Best Supporting Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

31%

Will Timothée Chalamet be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?

100%

Will Jessie Buckley win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?

87%

Beware of external links.

Oscars 2026: Best Actor Winner

Timothée Chalamet
$211,082 Vol.
65%

Leonardo DiCaprio
$252,067 Vol.
24%

Wagner Moura
$84,735 Vol.
5%

Ethan Hawke
$150,313 Vol.
3%

Michael B. Jordan
$75,380 Vol.
3%

Jesse Plemons
$66,806 Vol.
2%

Daniel Day-Lewis
$86,429 Vol.
1%

Jeremy Allen White
$68,566 Vol.
<1%

Dwayne Johnson
$288,575 Vol.
<1%

George Clooney
$55,404 Vol.
<1%

Paul Mescal
$55,789 Vol.
<1%

Brendan Fraser
$145,360 Vol.
<1%

Channing Tatum
$295,890 Vol.
<1%

Colin Farrell
$469,764 Vol.
<1%

Hugh Jackman
$205,643 Vol.
<1%

Market Context