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Oscars 2026: Best Picture Nominations

$1,225,408 Vol.

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Rules

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 98th Academy Awards in 2026, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 22, followed by the ceremony on March 15, 2026.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed movie is nominated for the 98th Academy Award for Best Picture. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when the 2025 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

If, for any reason, no nominations are declared by March 15, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,225,408
End Date
Jan 22, 2026
Created At
Sep 26, 2025, 9:12 PM UTC
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Beware of external links.

$1,225,408 Vol.

Market icon

Oscars 2026: Best Picture Nominations

OUTCOME
% CHANCE

Hamnet

$123,437 Vol.

99%

One Battle After Another

$250,018 Vol.

99%

Sinners

$31,949 Vol.

99%

Marty Supreme

$40,370 Vol.

99%

Frankenstein

$47,062 Vol.

97%

Sentimental Value

$14,572 Vol.

96%

Bugonia

$49,033 Vol.

86%

It Was Just an Accident

$39,789 Vol.

79%

Train Dreams

$47,620 Vol.

78%

F1

$39,401 Vol.

22%

Weapons

$30,402 Vol.

16%

Avatar: Fire and Ash

$40,981 Vol.

7%

Wicked: For Good

$75,424 Vol.

7%

No Other Choice

$44,648 Vol.

7%

Jay Kelly

$57,505 Vol.

6%

Sorry Baby

$3,115 Vol.

5%

The Testament of Ann Lee

$25,481 Vol.

3%

Die My Love

$22,400 Vol.

3%

A House of Dynamite

$17,490 Vol.

3%

Nouvelle Vague

$6,223 Vol.

3%

Rental Family

$32,190 Vol.

2%

Wake Up Dead Man: A Knives Out Mystery

$4,370 Vol.

2%

The Smashing Machine

$25,445 Vol.

2%

Springsteen: Deliver Me From Nowhere

$7,592 Vol.

1%

The Lost Bus

$16,647 Vol.

1%

Anemone

$39,207 Vol.

1%

Thunderbolts

$20,658 Vol.

1%

The Life of Chuck

$44,210 Vol.

1%

Highest 2 Lowest

$22,743 Vol.

1%

After the Hunt

$1,058 Vol.

<1%

Warfare

$1,645 Vol.

<1%

Novocaine

$1,121 Vol.

<1%

Sound of Falling

$1,605 Vol.

<1%

About

Volume
$1,225,408
End Date
Jan 22, 2026
Created At
Sep 26, 2025, 9:12 PM UTC
shield

Beware of external links.