Skip to main content
icon for Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actor Winner

Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actor Winner

icon for Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actor Winner

Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actor Winner

Paul Giamatti 33%

John Goodman 8%

Robert Pattinson 7.3%

Sam Rockwell 6.6%

Polymarket

$10,256 Vol.

Paul Giamatti 33%

John Goodman 8%

Robert Pattinson 7.3%

Sam Rockwell 6.6%

Polymarket

$10,256 Vol.

icon for Paul Giamatti

Paul Giamatti

$2,163 Vol.

33%

icon for John Goodman

John Goodman

$150 Vol.

8%

icon for Robert Pattinson

Robert Pattinson

$6,476 Vol.

7%

icon for Sam Rockwell

Sam Rockwell

$81 Vol.

7%

icon for Jeremy Strong

Jeremy Strong

$55 Vol.

4%

icon for Jesse Plemons

Jesse Plemons

$68 Vol.

4%

icon for Riz Ahmed

Riz Ahmed

$97 Vol.

4%

icon for Miles Teller

Miles Teller

$85 Vol.

4%

icon for Tom Holland

Tom Holland

$55 Vol.

4%

icon for Robert De Niro

Robert De Niro

$55 Vol.

4%

icon for Himesh Patel

Himesh Patel

$55 Vol.

4%

icon for Daniel Craig

Daniel Craig

$55 Vol.

4%

icon for Steve Buscemi

Steve Buscemi

$60 Vol.

4%

icon for Colman Domingo

Colman Domingo

$75 Vol.

3%

icon for Edward Norton

Edward Norton

$128 Vol.

3%

icon for Travis Scott

Travis Scott

$132 Vol.

3%

icon for Michael Fassbender

Michael Fassbender

$55 Vol.

3%

icon for Channing Tatum

Channing Tatum

$145 Vol.

2%

icon for Charles Melton

Charles Melton

$104 Vol.

2%

icon for Adam Scott

Adam Scott

$87 Vol.

2%

icon for James Ortiz

James Ortiz

$75 Vol.

1%

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed actor that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Paul Giamatti holds the clearest early edge in the 2027 Best Supporting Actor market thanks to sustained industry buzz around his role in an anticipated A24 project. The race stays unusually open at this stage, with veteran performers like John Goodman, Sam Rockwell, Jeremy Strong, and Robert Pattinson attached to high-profile films from directors such as Alejandro G. Iñárritu and others. Trader sentiment reflects historical precedent favoring recognizable names with strong precursor potential once guild nominations and critics’ awards arrive. Key swing factors include actual screen time, critical reception after fall festivals, and whether multiple contenders emerge from the same ensemble. With no major releases yet locked in awards contention, the field could shift quickly once 2026 screenings begin.

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed actor that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor.

If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$10,256
End Date
Mar 14, 2027
Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed actor that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed actor that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Paul Giamatti holds the clearest early edge in the 2027 Best Supporting Actor market thanks to sustained industry buzz around his role in an anticipated A24 project. The race stays unusually open at this stage, with veteran performers like John Goodman, Sam Rockwell, Jeremy Strong, and Robert Pattinson attached to high-profile films from directors such as Alejandro G. Iñárritu and others. Trader sentiment reflects historical precedent favoring recognizable names with strong precursor potential once guild nominations and critics’ awards arrive. Key swing factors include actual screen time, critical reception after fall festivals, and whether multiple contenders emerge from the same ensemble. With no major releases yet locked in awards contention, the field could shift quickly once 2026 screenings begin.

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the listed actor that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor.

If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".

In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order.

If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$10,256
End Date
Mar 14, 2027
Market Opened
Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve according to the listed actor that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor. If an actor is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Supporting Actor when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No". In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated actor whose listed last name comes first in alphabetical order. If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Related

icon for Will Tom Cruise win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?

Will Tom Cruise win Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?

30%
icon for Will Anne Hathaway win Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?

Will Anne Hathaway win Best Supporting Actress at the 99th Academy Awards?

39%
icon for Will Matt Damon be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?

Will Matt Damon be nominated for Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards?

96%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actor Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 21 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Paul Giamatti" at 33%, followed by "John Goodman" at 8%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 33¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 33% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actor Winner" has generated $10.3K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 6, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actor Winner," browse the 21 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actor Winner" is "Paul Giamatti" at 33%, meaning the market assigns a 33% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "John Goodman" at 8%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Oscars 2027: Best Supporting Actor Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.