Oura's May 2026 confidential S-1 filing with the SEC, targeting a potential 2026 listing led by Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley, anchors trader sentiment around its $11 billion private valuation from the late-2025 Series E round. Projected 2026 revenue of $1.5–2 billion, driven by ring sales exceeding 5.5 million units and international expansion plus AI features, supports implied probabilities clustered near the $10–12.5 billion range. However, the tight spread across brackets reflects uncertainty over IPO market conditions, wearable-sector multiples, and whether strong growth can justify a premium or face dilution in a crowded 2026 pipeline. Key upcoming catalysts include any public S-1 updates and broader equity sentiment heading into year-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedNo IPO before January 2027 14.4%
$10B–$12.5B 14%
$20B+ 14%
$15B–$17.5B 13%
$177,928 Vol.
$177,928 Vol.
<$7.5B
8%
$7.5B–$10B
11%
$10B–$12.5B
14%
$12.5B–$15B
11%
$15B–$17.5B
13%
$17.5B–$20B
12%
$20B+
14%
No IPO before January 2027
10%
No IPO before January 2027 14.4%
$10B–$12.5B 14%
$20B+ 14%
$15B–$17.5B 13%
$177,928 Vol.
$177,928 Vol.
<$7.5B
8%
$7.5B–$10B
11%
$10B–$12.5B
14%
$12.5B–$15B
11%
$15B–$17.5B
13%
$17.5B–$20B
12%
$20B+
14%
No IPO before January 2027
10%
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before January 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Oura’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Market Opened: May 26, 2026, 12:28 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No IPO before January 2027".
Market capitalization expresses the monetary value of a company’s outstanding shares, stated in its pricing currency. It is calculated as the number of shares outstanding multiplied by the closing share price on the first trading day.
If the relevant value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
Resolution will be based on the primary exchange’s official listing page. In the event that the relevant figure is not displayed, another reliable source will be used.
In the event of an interruption in the course of the normal trading session on Oura’s first day of trading (e.g., a circuit breaker or half-day), the market will resolve according to the official closing price of the abbreviated session. If no such official closing price is published, the market will resolve according to the next trading day on which an official closing price is published, treating that as the first day of trading for purposes of this market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Oura's May 2026 confidential S-1 filing with the SEC, targeting a potential 2026 listing led by Goldman Sachs and Morgan Stanley, anchors trader sentiment around its $11 billion private valuation from the late-2025 Series E round. Projected 2026 revenue of $1.5–2 billion, driven by ring sales exceeding 5.5 million units and international expansion plus AI features, supports implied probabilities clustered near the $10–12.5 billion range. However, the tight spread across brackets reflects uncertainty over IPO market conditions, wearable-sector multiples, and whether strong growth can justify a premium or face dilution in a crowded 2026 pipeline. Key upcoming catalysts include any public S-1 updates and broader equity sentiment heading into year-end.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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