**Recent polling consistently places former governor João Azevêdo (PSB) as the clear frontrunner for one of Paraíba’s two Senate seats, positioning incumbent senator Veneziano (MDB) as the leading contender for second.** Latest surveys, including the mid-September Quaest poll, show Azevêdo at 28% in consolidated first-and-second vote intentions, followed by Veneziano at 18%, Nabor Wanderley (Republicanos) at 12%, and Marcelo Queiroga (PL) at 7%. Earlier Real Time Big Data and other August-September readings reflect the same hierarchy, with Azevêdo ahead and Veneziano holding a solid edge in second-preference scenarios. The October 4 election is days away, and elevated undecided shares (often 14-63% across polls) plus the mechanics of voters selecting two distinct candidates sustain uncertainty around final ordering. Trader pricing reflects this evidence of Veneziano’s stronger positioning for second place while noting potential late shifts from undecided voters or campaign momentum among Nabor and Queiroga.