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icon for Penghu County Magistrate Election Winner
Politics·Taiwan

Penghu County Magistrate Election Winner

icon for Penghu County Magistrate Election Winner
Politics·Taiwan

Penghu County Magistrate Election Winner

Chen Chen-chung 78%

Wu Shu-chin 16%

Yeh Chu-lin 4.5%

Chen Chin-chuan <1%

Polymarket

$10,458 Vol.

Chen Chen-chung 78%

Wu Shu-chin 16%

Yeh Chu-lin 4.5%

Chen Chin-chuan <1%

Polymarket

$10,458 Vol.

icon for Chen Chen-chung

Chen Chen-chung

$3,186 Vol.

78%

icon for Wu Shu-chin

Wu Shu-chin

$4,939 Vol.

16%

icon for Yeh Chu-lin

Yeh Chu-lin

$428 Vol.

5%

icon for Chen Chin-chuan

Chen Chin-chuan

$385 Vol.

1%

icon for Hsu Chih-fu

Hsu Chih-fu

$985 Vol.

<1%

icon for Chou Ni-an

Chou Ni-an

$536 Vol.

<1%

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Penghu County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Chen Chen-chung holds the leading position in trader pricing for the Penghu County Magistrate race due to consolidated Kuomintang support and a fragmented field of opponents. The incumbent DPP magistrate's incapacitation after a 2026 head injury prompted his wife's late nomination as replacement candidate, while independents including former Magong mayor Yeh Chu-lin and ex-deputy magistrate Hsu Chih-fu further divide potential opposition votes. July-August polling showed Chen Chen-chung ahead at roughly 30 percent support versus lower shares for the DPP substitute and leading independents. Candidate registration closed in early September with six contenders, and enforcement actions against election irregularities have intensified ahead of the November 28 vote. These dynamics underpin the current implied probabilities reflected in market pricing.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Penghu County as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Penghu County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$10,458
End Date
Jul 1, 2027
Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 9:03 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Penghu County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Chen Chen-chung holds the leading position in trader pricing for the Penghu County Magistrate race due to consolidated Kuomintang support and a fragmented field of opponents. The incumbent DPP magistrate's incapacitation after a 2026 head injury prompted his wife's late nomination as replacement candidate, while independents including former Magong mayor Yeh Chu-lin and ex-deputy magistrate Hsu Chih-fu further divide potential opposition votes. July-August polling showed Chen Chen-chung ahead at roughly 30 percent support versus lower shares for the DPP substitute and leading independents. Candidate registration closed in early September with six contenders, and enforcement actions against election irregularities have intensified ahead of the November 28 vote. These dynamics underpin the current implied probabilities reflected in market pricing.

Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Penghu County as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Penghu County as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$10,458
End Date
Jul 1, 2027
Market Opened
Aug 14, 2026, 9:03 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Penghu County Magistrate Election Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 6 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Chen Chen-chung" at 78%, followed by "Wu Shu-chin" at 16%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 78¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 78% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Penghu County Magistrate Election Winner" has generated $10.5K in total trading volume since the market launched on Aug 14, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Penghu County Magistrate Election Winner," browse the 6 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Penghu County Magistrate Election Winner" is "Chen Chen-chung" at 78%, meaning the market assigns a 78% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Wu Shu-chin" at 16%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Penghu County Magistrate Election Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.