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Presidential Election Winner 2028

icon for Presidential Election Winner 2028

Presidential Election Winner 2028

JD Vance 18.6%

Gavin Newsom 16.7%

Marco Rubio 13.9%

Kamala Harris 6.7%

Polymarket

$585,287,619 Vol.

JD Vance 18.6%

Gavin Newsom 16.7%

Marco Rubio 13.9%

Kamala Harris 6.7%

Polymarket

$585,287,619 Vol.

icon for JD Vance

JD Vance

$12,098,952 Vol.

19%

icon for Gavin Newsom

Gavin Newsom

$16,415,772 Vol.

17%

icon for Marco Rubio

Marco Rubio

$9,870,444 Vol.

14%

icon for Kamala Harris

Kamala Harris

$7,455,272 Vol.

7%

icon for Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$11,455,159 Vol.

5%

icon for Jon Ossoff

Jon Ossoff

$4,215,022 Vol.

3%

icon for Tucker Carlson

Tucker Carlson

$11,078,206 Vol.

3%

icon for Josh Shapiro

Josh Shapiro

$6,414,967 Vol.

3%

icon for Ron DeSantis

Ron DeSantis

$10,946,075 Vol.

3%

icon for Donald Trump

Donald Trump

$7,865,815 Vol.

2%

icon for Pete Buttigieg

Pete Buttigieg

$4,424,990 Vol.

2%

icon for Andy Beshear

Andy Beshear

$18,251,559 Vol.

2%

icon for Donald Trump Jr.

Donald Trump Jr.

$12,261,957 Vol.

1%

icon for Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

$7,006,355 Vol.

1%

icon for JB Pritzker

JB Pritzker

$11,749,629 Vol.

1%

icon for Thomas Massie

Thomas Massie

$5,103,201 Vol.

1%

icon for Elon Musk

Elon Musk

$24,081,064 Vol.

1%

icon for Gretchen Whitmer

Gretchen Whitmer

$10,468,969 Vol.

1%

icon for Ivanka Trump

Ivanka Trump

$6,403,429 Vol.

1%

icon for Stephen Smith

Stephen Smith

$31,010,216 Vol.

1%

icon for Jamie Dimon

Jamie Dimon

$8,957,391 Vol.

1%

icon for Greg Abbott

Greg Abbott

$33,051,563 Vol.

1%

icon for Michelle Obama

Michelle Obama

$14,942,419 Vol.

1%

icon for Nikki Haley

Nikki Haley

$24,296,834 Vol.

1%

icon for Ro Khanna

Ro Khanna

$8,326,679 Vol.

1%

icon for James Talarico

James Talarico

$5,537,072 Vol.

1%

icon for Wes Moore

Wes Moore

$9,305,683 Vol.

1%

icon for Glenn Youngkin

Glenn Youngkin

$23,986,991 Vol.

1%

icon for Tulsi Gabbard

Tulsi Gabbard

$30,211,718 Vol.

1%

icon for Vivek Ramaswamy

Vivek Ramaswamy

$33,191,373 Vol.

1%

icon for Zohran Mamdani

Zohran Mamdani

$19,437,270 Vol.

1%

icon for Tim Walz

Tim Walz

$41,299,494 Vol.

1%

icon for LeBron James

LeBron James

$50,396,988 Vol.

1%

icon for Pete Hegseth

Pete Hegseth

$6,186,881 Vol.

1%

icon for Kim Kardashian

Kim Kardashian

$35,587,164 Vol.

1%

icon for Eric Trump

Eric Trump

$11,997,712 Vol.

1%

The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.The tight trader consensus around JD Vance, Gavin Newsom, and Marco Rubio for the 2028 presidential election stems from their elevated national profiles amid an open field more than two years before primaries. Vance maintains a narrow lead through his vice presidential role and alignment with the current administration, while Rubio has seen recent gains tied to his secretary of state duties and a May audience poll by President Trump comparing the two. Newsom sustains Democratic visibility through his term-limited governorship and early positioning. With no major endorsements or 2026 midterm outcomes yet resolved, early polls show shifting preferences among Republicans and Democrats alike. Cabinet performance, legislative results, or formal candidacies could widen gaps before convention processes begin.

The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.

This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
Volume
$585,287,619
End Date
Nov 7, 2028
Market Opened
Jul 11, 2025, 2:44 PM ET

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.The tight trader consensus around JD Vance, Gavin Newsom, and Marco Rubio for the 2028 presidential election stems from their elevated national profiles amid an open field more than two years before primaries. Vance maintains a narrow lead through his vice presidential role and alignment with the current administration, while Rubio has seen recent gains tied to his secretary of state duties and a May audience poll by President Trump comparing the two. Newsom sustains Democratic visibility through his term-limited governorship and early positioning. With no major endorsements or 2026 midterm outcomes yet resolved, early polls show shifting preferences among Republicans and Democrats alike. Cabinet performance, legislative results, or formal candidacies could widen gaps before convention processes begin.

The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.

This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
Volume
$585,287,619
End Date
Nov 7, 2028
Market Opened
Jul 11, 2025, 2:44 PM ET

We anticipate rolling out a new rewards and oracle-resolution system later this year that will generate returns on your positions, at which point there will be a simple 1-click migration.

The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Presidential Election Winner 2028" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 36 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "JD Vance" at 19%, followed by "Gavin Newsom" at 17%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 19¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 19% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Presidential Election Winner 2028" has generated $585.3 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Presidential Election Winner 2028," browse the 36 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Presidential Election Winner 2028" is "JD Vance" at 19%, meaning the market assigns a 19% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Gavin Newsom" at 17%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Presidential Election Winner 2028" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.