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icon for Presidential Election Winner 2028
Elections·President

Presidential Election Winner 2028

icon for Presidential Election Winner 2028
Elections·President

Presidential Election Winner 2028

JD Vance 20.6%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 13.5%

Jon Ossoff 11.5%

Marco Rubio 8.8%

Polymarket

$708,749,756 Vol.

JD Vance 20.6%

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 13.5%

Jon Ossoff 11.5%

Marco Rubio 8.8%

Polymarket

$708,749,756 Vol.

icon for JD Vance

JD Vance

$16,451,874 Vol.

21%

icon for Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez

$13,677,234 Vol.

13%

icon for Jon Ossoff

Jon Ossoff

$5,704,317 Vol.

11%

icon for Marco Rubio

Marco Rubio

$12,585,186 Vol.

9%

icon for Gavin Newsom

Gavin Newsom

$18,437,781 Vol.

7%

icon for Kamala Harris

Kamala Harris

$9,071,469 Vol.

4%

icon for Josh Shapiro

Josh Shapiro

$7,566,631 Vol.

3%

icon for Pete Buttigieg

Pete Buttigieg

$8,306,301 Vol.

3%

icon for Ron DeSantis

Ron DeSantis

$12,626,287 Vol.

2%

icon for Mark Kelly

Mark Kelly

$718,063 Vol.

2%

icon for Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson

$8,403,145 Vol.

2%

icon for Tucker Carlson

Tucker Carlson

$14,265,226 Vol.

2%

icon for Donald Trump

Donald Trump

$10,644,730 Vol.

1%

icon for Andy Beshear

Andy Beshear

$19,217,501 Vol.

1%

icon for Ro Khanna

Ro Khanna

$10,907,892 Vol.

1%

icon for Thomas Massie

Thomas Massie

$8,407,396 Vol.

1%

icon for Wes Moore

Wes Moore

$12,672,066 Vol.

1%

icon for James Talarico

James Talarico

$7,306,944 Vol.

1%

icon for Ivanka Trump

Ivanka Trump

$8,242,474 Vol.

1%

icon for JB Pritzker

JB Pritzker

$13,037,906 Vol.

<1%

icon for Donald Trump Jr.

Donald Trump Jr.

$13,812,592 Vol.

<1%

icon for Jamie Dimon

Jamie Dimon

$10,984,448 Vol.

<1%

icon for Gretchen Whitmer

Gretchen Whitmer

$15,600,221 Vol.

<1%

icon for Greg Abbott

Greg Abbott

$35,386,292 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ted Cruz

Ted Cruz

$117,760 Vol.

<1%

icon for Glenn Youngkin

Glenn Youngkin

$28,203,065 Vol.

<1%

icon for Tulsi Gabbard

Tulsi Gabbard

$35,389,740 Vol.

<1%

icon for Elon Musk

Elon Musk

$27,144,667 Vol.

<1%

icon for Michelle Obama

Michelle Obama

$19,294,823 Vol.

<1%

icon for Elissa Slotkin

Elissa Slotkin

$504,687 Vol.

<1%

icon for Tom Cotton

Tom Cotton

$1,535,230 Vol.

<1%

icon for Raphael Warnock

Raphael Warnock

$696,197 Vol.

<1%

icon for Stephen Smith

Stephen Smith

$33,479,139 Vol.

<1%

icon for Nikki Haley

Nikki Haley

$30,172,104 Vol.

<1%

icon for Tim Walz

Tim Walz

$44,725,630 Vol.

<1%

icon for Vivek Ramaswamy

Vivek Ramaswamy

$37,953,476 Vol.

<1%

icon for LeBron James

LeBron James

$54,780,709 Vol.

<1%

icon for Kim Kardashian

Kim Kardashian

$40,272,599 Vol.

<1%

icon for Zohran Mamdani

Zohran Mamdani

$22,202,621 Vol.

<1%

icon for Eric Trump

Eric Trump

$18,827,927 Vol.

<1%

icon for Pete Hegseth

Pete Hegseth

$10,340,158 Vol.

<1%

icon for Jalen Brunson

Jalen Brunson

$2,710,577 Vol.

<1%

icon for Abigail Spanberger

Abigail Spanberger

$789,523 Vol.

<1%

icon for Hakeem Jeffries

Hakeem Jeffries

$270,722 Vol.

<1%

icon for Adam Schiff

Adam Schiff

$933,129 Vol.

<1%

icon for Josh Stein

Josh Stein

$1,023,067 Vol.

<1%

icon for Alex Padilla

Alex Padilla

$835,611 Vol.

<1%

icon for Candace Owens

Candace Owens

$519,544 Vol.

<1%

icon for Tim Scott

Tim Scott

$379,028 Vol.

<1%

icon for Mike Johnson

Mike Johnson

$363,010 Vol.

<1%

icon for Doug Burgum

Doug Burgum

$386,253 Vol.

<1%

icon for John N. Kennedy

John N. Kennedy

$374,917 Vol.

<1%

icon for Rick Scott

Rick Scott

$489,864 Vol.

<1%

The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.The wide-open 2028 presidential field, more than two years before the November election and with no major candidates yet declared, drives the fragmented trader consensus reflected in current pricing. Vice President JD Vance holds the highest share as the leading Republican contender, while Democrats show a crowded primary landscape with Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Jon Ossoff, Gavin Newsom, and others trading in a tight cluster behind him. Recent statements from figures like Marco Rubio ruling out a run and Gavin Newsom conditioning participation on Kamala Harris's decision have added early clarity without shifting the overall dispersion. The 2026 midterms and subsequent formal announcements remain the key catalysts that could consolidate support, alter nomination odds, and separate frontrunners from the long tail of lower-probability names.

The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.

This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
Volume
$708,749,756
End Date
Jan 21, 2029
Market Opened
Jul 11, 2025, 2:44 PM ET

Resolver

0x2f5e3684c...
The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.The wide-open 2028 presidential field, more than two years before the November election and with no major candidates yet declared, drives the fragmented trader consensus reflected in current pricing. Vice President JD Vance holds the highest share as the leading Republican contender, while Democrats show a crowded primary landscape with Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, Jon Ossoff, Gavin Newsom, and others trading in a tight cluster behind him. Recent statements from figures like Marco Rubio ruling out a run and Gavin Newsom conditioning participation on Kamala Harris's decision have added early clarity without shifting the overall dispersion. The 2026 midterms and subsequent formal announcements remain the key catalysts that could consolidate support, alter nomination odds, and separate frontrunners from the long tail of lower-probability names.

The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028.

This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election.

The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.The 2028 US Presidential Election is scheduled to take place on November 7, 2028. This market will resolve to the person who wins the 2028 US Presidential Election. The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race for the same candidate by the inauguration date (January 20, 2029) this market will resolve based on who is inaugurated.
Volume
$708,749,756
End Date
Jan 21, 2029
Market Opened
Jul 11, 2025, 2:44 PM ET

Resolver

0x2f5e3684c...

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"Presidential Election Winner 2028" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 53+ possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "JD Vance" at 21%, followed by "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez" at 14%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 21¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 21% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Presidential Election Winner 2028" has generated $708.7 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Jul 11, 2025. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Presidential Election Winner 2028," browse the 53+ available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Presidential Election Winner 2028" is "JD Vance" at 21%, meaning the market assigns a 21% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez" at 14%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Presidential Election Winner 2028" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.