The 2026 NFL season remains months from kickoff, leaving the QBR leader market wide open as reflected in the tight clustering of implied probabilities around 49.5–50% across dozens of quarterbacks. Established passers such as Patrick Mahomes, Josh Allen, and Lamar Jackson share near-equal positioning with rising talents including Jayden Daniels, Caleb Williams, and rookies like Cam Ward or Shedeur Sanders, driven by variables including training camp performance, offensive line health, play-calling schemes, and historical QBR volatility over a full 17-game schedule. This balance underscores the market’s assessment that no single signal caller holds a decisive edge entering the preseason.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedTyler Shough 50.0%
Jacoby Brissett 50.0%
Kirk Cousins 50.0%
Geno Smith 50%
Tyler Shough
50%
Jacoby Brissett
50%
Kirk Cousins
50%
Geno Smith
50%
Jaxson Dart
50%
Patrick Mahomes
50%
Drake Maye
50%
JJ McCarthy
50%
Jared Goff
50%
Bryce Young
50%
Sam Darnold
50%
Matthew Stafford
50%
Brock Purdy
50%
Joe Burrow
50%
Shedeur Sanders
50%
Trevor Lawrence
50%
C.J. Stroud
50%
Cam Ward
50%
Justin Herbert
50%
Jalen Hurts
50%
Dak Prescott
50%
Jayden Daniels
50%
Caleb Williams
50%
Jordan Love
50%
Kyler Murray
50%
Michael Penix Jr.
49%
Lamar Jackson
49%
Bo Nix
48%
Josh Allen
45%
Daniel Jones
45%
Fernando Mendoza
45%
OtherNFL Team Statistical Leaders
39%
Deshaun Watson
39%
Carson Beck
37%
Malik Willis
3%
Aaron Rodgers
3%
Tyler Shough 50.0%
Jacoby Brissett 50.0%
Kirk Cousins 50.0%
Geno Smith 50%
Tyler Shough
50%
Jacoby Brissett
50%
Kirk Cousins
50%
Geno Smith
50%
Jaxson Dart
50%
Patrick Mahomes
50%
Drake Maye
50%
JJ McCarthy
50%
Jared Goff
50%
Bryce Young
50%
Sam Darnold
50%
Matthew Stafford
50%
Brock Purdy
50%
Joe Burrow
50%
Shedeur Sanders
50%
Trevor Lawrence
50%
C.J. Stroud
50%
Cam Ward
50%
Justin Herbert
50%
Jalen Hurts
50%
Dak Prescott
50%
Jayden Daniels
50%
Caleb Williams
50%
Jordan Love
50%
Kyler Murray
50%
Michael Penix Jr.
49%
Lamar Jackson
49%
Bo Nix
48%
Josh Allen
45%
Daniel Jones
45%
Fernando Mendoza
45%
OtherNFL Team Statistical Leaders
39%
Deshaun Watson
39%
Carson Beck
37%
Malik Willis
3%
Aaron Rodgers
3%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with more qualifying dropbacks during the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher traditional passer rating during the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the 2026-27 NFL season concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available Total QBR data for completed games.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player led the NFL in Total QBR among qualified players within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from ESPN; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 20, 2026, 4:05 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with more qualifying dropbacks during the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher traditional passer rating during the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the 2026-27 NFL season concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available Total QBR data for completed games.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player led the NFL in Total QBR among qualified players within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from ESPN; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 NFL season remains months from kickoff, leaving the QBR leader market wide open as reflected in the tight clustering of implied probabilities around 49.5–50% across dozens of quarterbacks. Established passers such as Patrick Mahomes, Josh Allen, and Lamar Jackson share near-equal positioning with rising talents including Jayden Daniels, Caleb Williams, and rookies like Cam Ward or Shedeur Sanders, driven by variables including training camp performance, offensive line health, play-calling schemes, and historical QBR volatility over a full 17-game schedule. This balance underscores the market’s assessment that no single signal caller holds a decisive edge entering the preseason.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated



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