The 2026 NFL season opens with a wide-open race for the scrimmage touchdowns lead, reflected in tightly bunched market probabilities across dozens of contenders. Quarterbacks like Josh Allen and Jalen Hurts, running backs such as Kenneth Walker III, Cam Skattebo, and Kyren Williams, plus wide receivers including A.J. Brown and Nico Collins all sit in the 25-33% range due to overlapping roles in high-volume offenses, favorable offensive line and scheme factors, and recent training camp or preseason usage trends. Depth at the position, injury uncertainty, and the long regular-season schedule keep the field competitive, with no single player holding a decisive edge in goal-line work or red-zone targets heading into Week 1.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedKenneth Walker III 36.8%
David Montgomery 30.5%
Kyren Williams 28.3%
Davante Adams 28.1%
$18,491 Vol.
$18,491 Vol.
Kenneth Walker III
37%
David Montgomery
31%
Kyren Williams
28%
Davante Adams
28%
Jalen Hurts
25%
Josh Allen
25%
Travis Kelce
25%
Ja'Marr Chase
25%
D'Andre Swift
23%
Jahmyr Gibbs
18%
Jonathan Taylor
17%
Jaxson Dart
15%
Amon-Ra St. Brown
14%
Justin Jefferson
12%
Christian McCaffrey
10%
Zach Charbonnet
7%
George Kittle
7%
Ashton Jeanty
4%
Bijan Robinson
4%
Devonta Smith
4%
Saquon Barkley
4%
Drake London
4%
TreVeyon Henderson
4%
Chase Brown
3%
J.K. Dobbins
3%
DJ Moore
3%
Jeremiyah Love
3%
Bucky Irving
3%
James Cook III
3%
Kimani Vidal
3%
Joe Mixon
3%
De'Von Achane
3%
Josh Jacobs
2%
Rico Dowdle
24%
Omarion Hampton
1%
Jameson Williams
13%
Travis Etienne Jr.
1%
Puka Nacua
25%
Breece Hall
<1%
Javonte Williams
<1%
Derrick Henry
13%
Garrett Wilson
13%
Malik Nabers
25%
Brock Bowers
<1%
Quinshon Judkins
25%
James Connor
15%
Chuba Hubbard
15%
Tee Higgins
<1%
Jaxon Smith-Njigba
<1%
Cam Skattebo
30%
Trey McBride
30%
Chris Olave
37%
A.J. Brown
32%
CeeDee Lamb
32%
Nico Collins
30%
Kenneth Walker III 36.8%
David Montgomery 30.5%
Kyren Williams 28.3%
Davante Adams 28.1%
$18,491 Vol.
$18,491 Vol.
Kenneth Walker III
37%
David Montgomery
31%
Kyren Williams
28%
Davante Adams
28%
Jalen Hurts
25%
Josh Allen
25%
Travis Kelce
25%
Ja'Marr Chase
25%
D'Andre Swift
23%
Jahmyr Gibbs
18%
Jonathan Taylor
17%
Jaxson Dart
15%
Amon-Ra St. Brown
14%
Justin Jefferson
12%
Christian McCaffrey
10%
Zach Charbonnet
7%
George Kittle
7%
Ashton Jeanty
4%
Bijan Robinson
4%
Devonta Smith
4%
Saquon Barkley
4%
Drake London
4%
TreVeyon Henderson
4%
Chase Brown
3%
J.K. Dobbins
3%
DJ Moore
3%
Jeremiyah Love
3%
Bucky Irving
3%
James Cook III
3%
Kimani Vidal
3%
Joe Mixon
3%
De'Von Achane
3%
Josh Jacobs
2%
Rico Dowdle
24%
Omarion Hampton
1%
Jameson Williams
13%
Travis Etienne Jr.
1%
Puka Nacua
25%
Breece Hall
<1%
Javonte Williams
<1%
Derrick Henry
13%
Garrett Wilson
13%
Malik Nabers
25%
Brock Bowers
<1%
Quinshon Judkins
25%
James Connor
15%
Chuba Hubbard
15%
Tee Higgins
<1%
Jaxon Smith-Njigba
<1%
Cam Skattebo
30%
Trey McBride
30%
Chris Olave
37%
A.J. Brown
32%
CeeDee Lamb
32%
Nico Collins
30%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with more scrimmage yards (rushing yards plus receiving yards) during the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher yards per touch average (rushing attempts plus receptions) during the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the 2026-27 NFL season concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available NFL statistics for completed games.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player led the NFL in scrimmage touchdowns (rushing touchdowns plus receiving touchdowns) within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 20, 2026, 3:43 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with more scrimmage yards (rushing yards plus receiving yards) during the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher yards per touch average (rushing attempts plus receptions) during the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the 2026-27 NFL season concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available NFL statistics for completed games.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player led the NFL in scrimmage touchdowns (rushing touchdowns plus receiving touchdowns) within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 NFL season opens with a wide-open race for the scrimmage touchdowns lead, reflected in tightly bunched market probabilities across dozens of contenders. Quarterbacks like Josh Allen and Jalen Hurts, running backs such as Kenneth Walker III, Cam Skattebo, and Kyren Williams, plus wide receivers including A.J. Brown and Nico Collins all sit in the 25-33% range due to overlapping roles in high-volume offenses, favorable offensive line and scheme factors, and recent training camp or preseason usage trends. Depth at the position, injury uncertainty, and the long regular-season schedule keep the field competitive, with no single player holding a decisive edge in goal-line work or red-zone targets heading into Week 1.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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