Early in the 2026 NFL season, no player has secured a clear advantage in red-zone targets or goal-line carries, leaving implied probabilities clustered among running backs and receivers such as Kenneth Walker III, Rico Dowdle, D'Andre Swift, David Montgomery, Amon-Ra St. Brown, and Cam Skattebo. Committee backfields, spread concepts, and quarterback distribution spread scoring chances across offenses, while injury histories, bye timing, and matchup variance add uncertainty. Official injury reports and usage trends from the first weeks underscore this parity, with traders reflecting broad consensus rather than anointing frontrunners in a race historically decided by late surges.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · UpdatedKenneth Walker III 35.6%
Nico Collins 31.6%
D'Andre Swift 24.9%
Justin Jefferson 24.8%
$18,491 Vol.
$18,491 Vol.
Kenneth Walker III
36%
Nico Collins
32%
D'Andre Swift
25%
Justin Jefferson
25%
Josh Allen
24%
David Montgomery
23%
Jahmyr Gibbs
18%
Jonathan Taylor
17%
Kyren Williams
15%
Chuba Hubbard
15%
Puka Nacua
13%
Davante Adams
12%
Christian McCaffrey
10%
Zach Charbonnet
7%
George Kittle
6%
Derrick Henry
4%
CeeDee Lamb
4%
Ashton Jeanty
4%
Bijan Robinson
4%
Jalen Hurts
4%
Drake London
4%
Devonta Smith
4%
Garrett Wilson
4%
TreVeyon Henderson
4%
Chase Brown
3%
DJ Moore
3%
Jeremiyah Love
3%
Bucky Irving
3%
Kimani Vidal
3%
Joe Mixon
3%
James Cook III
3%
De'Von Achane
3%
Josh Jacobs
2%
Saquon Barkley
18%
Travis Kelce
25%
Rico Dowdle
25%
Omarion Hampton
1%
Jameson Williams
25%
J.K. Dobbins
1%
Breece Hall
<1%
Travis Etienne Jr.
<1%
Brock Bowers
<1%
Javonte Williams
<1%
Malik Nabers
16%
Quinshon Judkins
25%
James Connor
14%
Jaxson Dart
25%
Tee Higgins
<1%
Jaxon Smith-Njigba
<1%
Cam Skattebo
32%
Trey McBride
31%
Amon-Ra St. Brown
26%
Chris Olave
30%
A.J. Brown
34%
Ja'Marr Chase
30%
Kenneth Walker III 35.6%
Nico Collins 31.6%
D'Andre Swift 24.9%
Justin Jefferson 24.8%
$18,491 Vol.
$18,491 Vol.
Kenneth Walker III
36%
Nico Collins
32%
D'Andre Swift
25%
Justin Jefferson
25%
Josh Allen
24%
David Montgomery
23%
Jahmyr Gibbs
18%
Jonathan Taylor
17%
Kyren Williams
15%
Chuba Hubbard
15%
Puka Nacua
13%
Davante Adams
12%
Christian McCaffrey
10%
Zach Charbonnet
7%
George Kittle
6%
Derrick Henry
4%
CeeDee Lamb
4%
Ashton Jeanty
4%
Bijan Robinson
4%
Jalen Hurts
4%
Drake London
4%
Devonta Smith
4%
Garrett Wilson
4%
TreVeyon Henderson
4%
Chase Brown
3%
DJ Moore
3%
Jeremiyah Love
3%
Bucky Irving
3%
Kimani Vidal
3%
Joe Mixon
3%
James Cook III
3%
De'Von Achane
3%
Josh Jacobs
2%
Saquon Barkley
18%
Travis Kelce
25%
Rico Dowdle
25%
Omarion Hampton
1%
Jameson Williams
25%
J.K. Dobbins
1%
Breece Hall
<1%
Travis Etienne Jr.
<1%
Brock Bowers
<1%
Javonte Williams
<1%
Malik Nabers
16%
Quinshon Judkins
25%
James Connor
14%
Jaxson Dart
25%
Tee Higgins
<1%
Jaxon Smith-Njigba
<1%
Cam Skattebo
32%
Trey McBride
31%
Amon-Ra St. Brown
26%
Chris Olave
30%
A.J. Brown
34%
Ja'Marr Chase
30%
In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with more scrimmage yards (rushing yards plus receiving yards) during the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher yards per touch average (rushing attempts plus receptions) during the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the 2026-27 NFL season concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available NFL statistics for completed games.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player led the NFL in scrimmage touchdowns (rushing touchdowns plus receiving touchdowns) within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Market Opened: Jul 20, 2026, 3:43 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In the event of a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the tied player with more scrimmage yards (rushing yards plus receiving yards) during the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve in favor of the player with a higher yards per touch average (rushing attempts plus receptions) during the 2026-27 NFL regular season. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to “Other”.
If the 2026-27 NFL season concludes early, is shortened, or is truncated for any reason, the outcome shall be determined using available NFL statistics for completed games.
If the 2026-27 NFL regular season is cancelled, postponed after January 26, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or it is unclear which player led the NFL in scrimmage touchdowns (rushing touchdowns plus receiving touchdowns) within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Early in the 2026 NFL season, no player has secured a clear advantage in red-zone targets or goal-line carries, leaving implied probabilities clustered among running backs and receivers such as Kenneth Walker III, Rico Dowdle, D'Andre Swift, David Montgomery, Amon-Ra St. Brown, and Cam Skattebo. Committee backfields, spread concepts, and quarterback distribution spread scoring chances across offenses, while injury histories, bye timing, and matchup variance add uncertainty. Official injury reports and usage trends from the first weeks underscore this parity, with traders reflecting broad consensus rather than anointing frontrunners in a race historically decided by late surges.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated


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