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icon for Pro Football: 2026 MVP Winner

Pro Football: 2026 MVP Winner

icon for Pro Football: 2026 MVP Winner

Pro Football: 2026 MVP Winner

Josh Allen 32%

Brock Purdy 10.8%

Joe Burrow 9.2%

Lamar Jackson 9%

Polymarket

$1,021,176 Vol.

Josh Allen 32%

Brock Purdy 10.8%

Joe Burrow 9.2%

Lamar Jackson 9%

Polymarket

$1,021,176 Vol.

Josh Allen

$44,296 Vol.

32%

Brock Purdy

$28,057 Vol.

11%

Joe Burrow

$32,405 Vol.

9%

Lamar Jackson

$53,746 Vol.

9%

Patrick Mahomes

$22,613 Vol.

8%

Caleb Williams

$90,748 Vol.

7%

Trevor Lawrence

$30,265 Vol.

5%

Matthew Stafford

$24,389 Vol.

4%

Dak Prescott

$37,845 Vol.

4%

Jalen Hurts

$22,602 Vol.

3%

Justin Herbert

$78,714 Vol.

3%

Drake Maye

$29,881 Vol.

2%

Jordan Love

$18,892 Vol.

2%

Jared Goff

$25,210 Vol.

1%

Jaxson Dart

$30,992 Vol.

1%

Bo Nix

$19,126 Vol.

1%

Jaxson Smith-Njigba

$24,261 Vol.

1%

Jahmyr Gibbs

$21,147 Vol.

1%

Baker Mayfield

$128,094 Vol.

1%

Sam Darnold

$17,536 Vol.

<1%

Derrick Henry

$14,442 Vol.

<1%

Player J

$13,690 Vol.

<1%

Christian McCaffrey

$14,362 Vol.

<1%

Saquon Barkley

$133,853 Vol.

<1%

Justin Jefferson

$20,226 Vol.

<1%

Puka Nacua

$9,083 Vol.

<1%

De'Von Achane

$7,760 Vol.

<1%

Myles Garrett

$16,015 Vol.

<1%

Bijan Robinson

$10,927 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 NFL Most Valuable Player award for the 2026-27 NFL season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026-27 NFL season is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Josh Allen has surged to a commanding lead in the 2026 NFL MVP market following a dominant start with the Buffalo Bills, who improved to 2-0 behind his nine total touchdowns (five passing, four rushing) and zero interceptions through two games, including a five-touchdown performance on Thursday Night Football against the Lions. This dual-threat output and the Bills’ offensive efficiency have shifted trader consensus sharply toward the established favorite. Brock Purdy has climbed on the strength of efficient early production with the 49ers, while Joe Burrow and Lamar Jackson hold steady positions tied to their teams’ contention windows. Patrick Mahomes and Caleb Williams have seen some movement, the latter after a Week 2 hamstring injury. Non-quarterbacks remain longshots, consistent with historical MVP voting patterns that heavily favor signal-callers on winning teams.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 NFL Most Valuable Player award for the 2026-27 NFL season.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026-27 NFL season is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 NFL Most Valuable Player award for the 2026-27 NFL season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026-27 NFL season is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,021,176
End Date
Mar 1, 2027
Market Opened
Mar 27, 2026, 5:30 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 NFL Most Valuable Player award for the 2026-27 NFL season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026-27 NFL season is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Josh Allen has surged to a commanding lead in the 2026 NFL MVP market following a dominant start with the Buffalo Bills, who improved to 2-0 behind his nine total touchdowns (five passing, four rushing) and zero interceptions through two games, including a five-touchdown performance on Thursday Night Football against the Lions. This dual-threat output and the Bills’ offensive efficiency have shifted trader consensus sharply toward the established favorite. Brock Purdy has climbed on the strength of efficient early production with the 49ers, while Joe Burrow and Lamar Jackson hold steady positions tied to their teams’ contention windows. Patrick Mahomes and Caleb Williams have seen some movement, the latter after a Week 2 hamstring injury. Non-quarterbacks remain longshots, consistent with historical MVP voting patterns that heavily favor signal-callers on winning teams.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 NFL Most Valuable Player award for the 2026-27 NFL season.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026-27 NFL season is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 NFL Most Valuable Player award for the 2026-27 NFL season. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by NFL rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026-27 NFL season is cancelled, postponed after February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NFL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,021,176
End Date
Mar 1, 2027
Market Opened
Mar 27, 2026, 5:30 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

NFL 2026
Odds & Predictions

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Frequently Asked Questions

"Pro Football: 2026 MVP Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 29 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Josh Allen" at 32%, followed by "Brock Purdy" at 11%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 32¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 32% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "Pro Football: 2026 MVP Winner" has generated $1 million in total trading volume since the market launched on Mar 27, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "Pro Football: 2026 MVP Winner," browse the 29 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "Pro Football: 2026 MVP Winner" is "Josh Allen" at 32%, meaning the market assigns a 32% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Brock Purdy" at 11%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "Pro Football: 2026 MVP Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.