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icon for MLB: 2026 NL MVP
Sports·Awards

MLB: 2026 NL MVP

icon for MLB: 2026 NL MVP
Sports·Awards

MLB: 2026 NL MVP

Shohei Ohtani 60%

Bryce Harper 6.0%

Juan Soto 5.3%

Andy Pages 5.1%

Polymarket

$15,789 Vol.

Shohei Ohtani 60%

Bryce Harper 6.0%

Juan Soto 5.3%

Andy Pages 5.1%

Polymarket

$15,789 Vol.

Shohei Ohtani

$11,850 Vol.

60%

Bryce Harper

$517 Vol.

6%

Juan Soto

$1,779 Vol.

5%

Andy Pages

$50 Vol.

5%

Corbin Carroll

$221 Vol.

5%

Elly De La Cruz

$325 Vol.

4%

Francisco Lindor

$343 Vol.

1%

Mookie Betts

$103 Vol.

1%

Kyle Tucker

$218 Vol.

1%

Ronald Acuña Jr.

$265 Vol.

1%

Fernando Tatis Jr.

$116 Vol.

1%

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Most Valuable Player Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors Shohei Ohtani at 59.5% implied probability for NL MVP, propelled by his dominant return to two-way play—boasting a league-best 0.97 ERA, 42 strikeouts over 37 innings pitched, and 2.3 total WAR—bolstered by his history of three straight MVPs and the Dodgers' tight NL West contention at 24-18. Andy Pages' breakout paces NL RBI (35) with a .318 average and .909 OPS for 2.8 batting WAR, fueling his 5.1% share, while Bryce Harper's 10 homers and .938 OPS (despite Phillies' 20-22 slump) hold him at 6.0%. Juan Soto's Mets transition adds intrigue at 5.3%, but early-season volatility looms with full campaign metrics ahead.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Most Valuable Player Award.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$15,789
End Date
Nov 13, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 18, 2026, 10:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Most Valuable Player Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Most Valuable Player Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Trader consensus heavily favors Shohei Ohtani at 59.5% implied probability for NL MVP, propelled by his dominant return to two-way play—boasting a league-best 0.97 ERA, 42 strikeouts over 37 innings pitched, and 2.3 total WAR—bolstered by his history of three straight MVPs and the Dodgers' tight NL West contention at 24-18. Andy Pages' breakout paces NL RBI (35) with a .318 average and .909 OPS for 2.8 batting WAR, fueling his 5.1% share, while Bryce Harper's 10 homers and .938 OPS (despite Phillies' 20-22 slump) hold him at 6.0%. Juan Soto's Mets transition adds intrigue at 5.3%, but early-season volatility looms with full campaign metrics ahead.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Most Valuable Player Award.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$15,789
End Date
Nov 13, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 18, 2026, 10:12 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Most Valuable Player Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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Frequently Asked Questions

"MLB: 2026 NL MVP" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 11 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Shohei Ohtani" at 60%, followed by "Bryce Harper" at 6%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 60¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 60% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "MLB: 2026 NL MVP" has generated $15.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 19, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "MLB: 2026 NL MVP," browse the 11 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MLB: 2026 NL MVP" is "Shohei Ohtani" at 60%, meaning the market assigns a 60% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Bryce Harper" at 6%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MLB: 2026 NL MVP" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.