Skip to main content
icon for MLB: 2026 NL Cy Young Winner
Sports·Award

MLB: 2026 NL Cy Young Winner

icon for MLB: 2026 NL Cy Young Winner
Sports·Award

MLB: 2026 NL Cy Young Winner

Paul Skenes 42%

Shohei Ohtani 19.8%

Chris Sale 10.5%

Cristopher Sanchez 11%

Polymarket

$46,761 Vol.

Paul Skenes 42%

Shohei Ohtani 19.8%

Chris Sale 10.5%

Cristopher Sanchez 11%

Polymarket

$46,761 Vol.

Paul Skenes

$12,296 Vol.

42%

Shohei Ohtani

$7,019 Vol.

20%

Chris Sale

$2,141 Vol.

11%

Cristopher Sanchez

$2,585 Vol.

11%

Yoshinobu Yamamoto

$3,913 Vol.

9%

Jacob Misiorowski

$1,815 Vol.

4%

Mason Miller

$1,325 Vol.

3%

Nolan McLean

$2,494 Vol.

1%

Michael King

$1,025 Vol.

1%

Jesus Luzardo

$890 Vol.

1%

Brandon Woodruff

$705 Vol.

1%

Freddy Peralta

$1,231 Vol.

1%

Tyler Glasnow

$1,221 Vol.

1%

Mitch Keller

$629 Vol.

1%

Nick Lodolo

$558 Vol.

1%

Hunter Greene

$841 Vol.

<1%

Logan Webb

$863 Vol.

<1%

Zack Wheeler

$1,516 Vol.

<1%

Eury Perez

$856 Vol.

<1%

Blake Snell

$805 Vol.

<1%

Spencer Strider

$555 Vol.

<1%

Nick Pivetta

$884 Vol.

<1%

Spencer Schwellenbach

$594 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Cy Young Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Paul Skenes leads trader consensus at 46% implied probability for the 2026 NL Cy Young after a dominant early-season stretch, posting a 1.98 ERA, league-best 0.64 WHIP, and 56 strikeouts over 50 innings in nine starts for the Pirates, building on his 2025 award-winning campaign with five wins in his last seven outings. Shohei Ohtani trails at 21% following a sharp return to pitching for the Dodgers with sub-1.50 ERA marks in initial starts, though innings limits post-Tommy John surgery temper long-term expectations. Cristopher Sanchez (11%) surges with a 2.11 ERA and 67 strikeouts in 55.1 frames for the Phillies, while Chris Sale (10%) delivers seven quality starts and a 2.20 ERA for the Braves, and Yoshinobu Yamamoto (9%) maintains a crisp 1.00 WHIP despite a 3-3 record amid the Dodgers' rotation depth. Recent quality outings, like Sanchez's seven-inning gem on May 10, have tightened the race among this star-studded field.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Cy Young Award.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$46,761
End Date
Nov 12, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 18, 2026, 10:18 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Cy Young Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Cy Young Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Paul Skenes leads trader consensus at 46% implied probability for the 2026 NL Cy Young after a dominant early-season stretch, posting a 1.98 ERA, league-best 0.64 WHIP, and 56 strikeouts over 50 innings in nine starts for the Pirates, building on his 2025 award-winning campaign with five wins in his last seven outings. Shohei Ohtani trails at 21% following a sharp return to pitching for the Dodgers with sub-1.50 ERA marks in initial starts, though innings limits post-Tommy John surgery temper long-term expectations. Cristopher Sanchez (11%) surges with a 2.11 ERA and 67 strikeouts in 55.1 frames for the Phillies, while Chris Sale (10%) delivers seven quality starts and a 2.20 ERA for the Braves, and Yoshinobu Yamamoto (9%) maintains a crisp 1.00 WHIP despite a 3-3 record amid the Dodgers' rotation depth. Recent quality outings, like Sanchez's seven-inning gem on May 10, have tightened the race among this star-studded field.

This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Cy Young Award.

In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$46,761
End Date
Nov 12, 2026
Market Opened
Feb 18, 2026, 10:18 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 National League Cy Young Award. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLB rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLB season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Baseball; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Related

icon for New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?

New Rihanna Album before GTA VI?

59%
icon for Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?

Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?

28%
icon for Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

37%

Beware of external links.

Frequently Asked Questions

"MLB: 2026 NL Cy Young Winner" is a prediction market on Polymarket with 23 possible outcomes where traders buy and sell shares based on what they believe will happen. The current leading outcome is "Paul Skenes" at 42%, followed by "Shohei Ohtani" at 20%. Prices reflect real-time crowd-sourced probabilities. For example, a share priced at 42¢ implies that the market collectively assigns a 42% chance to that outcome. These odds shift continuously as traders react to new developments and information. Shares in the correct outcome are redeemable for $1 each upon market resolution.

As of today, "MLB: 2026 NL Cy Young Winner" has generated $46.8K in total trading volume since the market launched on Feb 19, 2026. This level of trading activity reflects strong engagement from the Polymarket community and helps ensure that the current odds are informed by a deep pool of market participants. You can track live price movements and trade on any outcome directly on this page.

To trade on "MLB: 2026 NL Cy Young Winner," browse the 23 available outcomes listed on this page. Each outcome displays a current price representing the market's implied probability. To take a position, select the outcome you believe is most likely, choose "Yes" to trade in favor of it or "No" to trade against it, enter your amount, and click "Trade." If your chosen outcome is correct when the market resolves, your "Yes" shares pay out $1 each. If it's incorrect, they pay out $0. You can also sell your shares at any time before resolution if you want to lock in a profit or cut a loss.

The current frontrunner for "MLB: 2026 NL Cy Young Winner" is "Paul Skenes" at 42%, meaning the market assigns a 42% chance to that outcome. The next closest outcome is "Shohei Ohtani" at 20%. These odds update in real-time as traders buy and sell shares, so they reflect the latest collective view of what's most likely to happen. Check back frequently or bookmark this page to follow how the odds shift as new information emerges.

The resolution rules for "MLB: 2026 NL Cy Young Winner" define exactly what needs to happen for each outcome to be declared a winner — including the official data sources used to determine the result. You can review the complete resolution criteria in the "Rules" section on this page above the comments. We recommend reading the rules carefully before trading, as they specify the precise conditions, edge cases, and sources that govern how this market is settled.